NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	5.3 [777]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +6.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.5 [1098]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	19	55%	0.16	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	15	49%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	19	62%	0.13	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.04	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	8	52%	-0.04	4	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	32.5	14.8	24.1	1.8	31.1	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.9%

PHI -1.8%

CLE +8.0%

CLE +11.7%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.4	104.3	97.9	104.5
season	16.0	15.5		103.2	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	13.5	16.7	17.3	15.2
PHI	18.2	17.2	14.0	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	83	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	15.6	11.7	3.89	15.1	18.3	-3.16
Anderson Varejao	52	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	0	6	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Eric Snow	50	49	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	14.7	15.7	-0.94	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Donyell Marshall	28	26	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	14.2	15.5	-1.30	17.0	14.9	2.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	4	-2	15.9	13.8	2.14	14.5	17.2	-2.72
Sasha Pavlovic	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	1	4	15.6	14.5	1.06	15.7	15.2	0.47
Daniel Gibson	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	15.3	15.1	0.13	17.0	15.0	1.96
LeBron James	72	71	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	10	-14	14.6	17.1	-2.52	15.6	15.0	0.58
Drew Gooden	48	49	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.1	0.10	16.1	14.8	1.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-6	6	17.1	15.3	1.81	16.6	15.0	1.61
Bobby Jones	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-12	18	14.4	17.2	-2.87	15.8	14.1	1.76
Alan Henderson	6	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	18.0	15.3	2.69	12.4	15.4	-3.04
Lou Amundson	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	16.8	15.1	1.69	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Joe Smith	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-7	8	15.0	17.6	-2.57	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Samuel Dalembert	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	15.2	16.6	-1.42	15.5	14.1	1.34
Andre Miller	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	7	-20	16.5	10.9	5.54	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Willie Green	92	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-1	-4	15.5	16.0	-0.53	15.2	14.7	0.51
Lou Williams	55	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.3	15.8	-0.54	14.7	15.8	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
LAL 99, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
ORL 97, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%