NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	112		Excitement	5.4 [761]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +25.4%
Houston Rockets	123		Comeback	1.1 [1256]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -10.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	0.03	0.06	19	77%	0.22	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	14	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Marc Jackson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	19	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	15	65%	0.06	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.00	18	64%	0.35	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	16	70%	0.23	3	-0.09	11	73%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.01	0.07	13	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	26.8	16.0	24.8	1.6	32.2	127.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +50.3%

NOK -7.5%

NOK -3.9%

HOU +9.5%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	HOU	NBA	NOK	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.4	121.7	133.7	104.5
season	16.0	15.6		102.8	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.3	19.0	17.7	13.9	16.1
HOU	14.5	15.2	17.4	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-15	19	16.1	16.0	0.14	16.7	14.0	2.65
Rasual Butler	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-15	19	15.1	19.3	-4.17	15.0	16.2	-1.29
Brandon Bass	11	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-3	-5	20.5	15.5	5.09	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Jannero Pargo	12	11	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	0	-11	21.9	15.2	6.73	15.4	15.2	0.14
Chris Paul	82	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-8	5	15.5	20.5	-4.98	15.2	15.2	0.04
David West	81	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-8	5	15.5	20.5	-5.09	15.2	15.2	0.04
Bobby Jackson	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	17.5	15.1	2.47	15.4	15.1	0.28
Marc Jackson	48	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	4	-19	16.0	16.1	-0.14	14.0	16.7	-2.65
Devin Brown	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.9	16.8	-0.89	15.4	14.6	0.85

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	15.4	14.7	0.65	16.2	15.3	0.91
Luther Head	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	14.9	15.9	-0.97	16.3	15.6	0.76
Tracy McGrady	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	15.3	15.1	0.11	15.6	18.9	-3.38
Rafer Alston	79	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	2	7	14.9	17.2	-2.23	15.5	19.6	-4.13
Yao Ming	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	4	3	14.6	17.1	-2.46	16.3	15.2	1.13
Juwan Howard	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	5	1	15.5	15.0	0.54	18.1	14.5	3.69
Dikembe Mutombo	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	6	-1	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.4	16.5	-2.02
Charles Hayes	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	9	-7	16.0	14.7	1.30	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Jake Tsakalidis	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	12	-13	17.6	15.1	2.50	18.0	16.0	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.6%
GSW 93, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%