NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	4.7 [887]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.1%
Dallas Mavericks	89		Comeback	1.2 [450]		LVP	Dee Brown (UTA): -8.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.03	13	61%	0.24	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	19	65%	0.16	3	-0.05	11	73%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	12	82%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Devean George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	30.8	16.7	30.6	2.5	31.3	137.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.8%

UTA +15.2%

UTA +34.0%

DAL -17.8%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.4	116.9	100.0	104.5
season	15.9	16.3		107.4	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	15.5	18.0	15.1	16.3
DAL	16.9	15.1	15.4	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	38	38	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-4	23	17.2	15.6	1.54	18.5	14.2	4.31
Dee Brown	35	38	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.03	14	1	13	15.9	16.6	-0.74	17.4	15.1	2.29
Carlos Boozer	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	7	1	16.4	15.9	0.52	16.2	15.5	0.74
Deron Williams	75	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	5	5	16.5	15.3	1.21	16.2	15.3	0.91
Matt Harpring	67	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	6	3	16.2	16.7	-0.50	16.3	15.3	0.96
Derek Fisher	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	11	-7	16.5	15.8	0.64	15.5	17.4	-1.92
Paul Millsap	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	13	-11	17.4	15.6	1.78	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Mehmet Okur	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	10	-5	15.3	17.5	-2.17	14.9	17.5	-2.59
Ronnie Brewer	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	13	-11	13.0	16.6	-3.59	7.7	16.8	-9.05
CJ Miles	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	13.0	16.4	-3.42	7.0	16.4	-9.37

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	42	43	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-19	23	15.3	16.7	-1.41	17.8	14.9	2.83
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-13	11	14.1	16.4	-2.28	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Kevin Willis	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-15	15	16.1	16.0	0.11	16.6	16.2	0.35
Devin Harris	47	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-12	9	15.8	16.3	-0.48	17.4	14.9	2.55
Dirk Nowitzki	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-10	5	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.8	17.3	-1.56
Josh Howard	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-9	3	16.1	15.9	0.23	17.1	15.0	2.07
DeSagana Diop	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-9	3	15.7	16.4	-0.71	16.6	15.9	0.64
Jose Juan Barea	48	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-4	-7	16.3	15.7	0.60	14.9	17.8	-2.97
Greg Buckner	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	16.2	15.9	0.31	14.4	17.7	-3.38
Austin Croshere	41	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	4	-23	18.0	14.4	3.51	16.4	16.2	0.19
Maurice Ager	30	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	0	-15	16.0	16.1	-0.03	16.3	16.3	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.1%
LAC 106, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.7%