NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	3.8 [1063]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +24.5%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	2.0 [960]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -7.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.04	8	81%	0.17	2	-0.05	11	82%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.05	14	62%	0.15	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	11	41%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	16	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.05	-0.08	18	60%	0.25	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.03	15	71%	0.26	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.4	15.5	30.6	2.5	28.4	132.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.5%

NJN +5.0%

NJN +6.0%

NJN +3.7%

NJN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	17.5	15.4	100.0	116.3	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.0	15.1	18.0	14.0	16.0
NJN	15.7	18.3	16.2	19.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	46	45	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-18	22	15.3	16.9	-1.64	18.6	16.2	2.47
Jerome James	5	4	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.05	-1	-13	12	17.4	15.9	1.46	13.0	17.7	-4.68
Channing Frye	62	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-17	20	15.9	16.4	-0.49	17.3	17.8	-0.45
Kelvin Cato	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-11	8	14.0	16.1	-2.15	24.3	16.9	7.38
Nate Robinson	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-8	2	15.7	16.6	-0.83	17.5	17.3	0.21
Steve Francis	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.9	17.6	-1.77	17.6	16.4	1.20
Eddy Curry	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	-6	-2	16.7	14.4	2.29	17.9	16.4	1.55
Jared Jeffries	47	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	9	-32	16.8	15.1	1.73	15.9	19.4	-3.55
Mardy Collins	71	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.10	-23	9	-32	16.0	16.2	-0.21	17.0	19.5	-2.50

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.16	27	-13	40	17.7	16.5	1.15	16.8	12.0	4.81
Mikki Moore	62	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	2	10	16.9	19.0	-2.07	16.1	15.8	0.36
Jason Kidd	65	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-4	22	17.6	17.2	0.36	16.2	15.6	0.60
Richard Jefferson	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	5	4	17.8	16.4	1.32	16.1	15.9	0.22
Clifford Robinson	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	4	6	18.4	17.0	1.38	16.1	16.0	0.12
Jason Collins	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	14	-14	16.8	17.9	-1.10	17.4	15.0	2.38
Bostjan Nachbar	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	8	-2	16.8	18.2	-1.33	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Antoine Wright	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	11	-8	17.6	17.4	0.18	13.6	16.6	-3.03
Hassan Adams	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	14	-14	8.3	17.8	-9.46	8.0	16.3	-8.31
Bernard Robinson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	23.0	17.4	5.60	3.5	16.3	-12.82
Josh Boone	7	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	19	-24	20.3	17.2	3.07	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Marcus Williams	25	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	24	-34	18.3	17.1	1.21	15.0	16.4	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 72, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIA 86, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%