inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 106 Excitement4.4 [941] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +32.2%
Detroit Pistons 88 Comeback1.9 [321] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -12.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.320,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.190.10-0.031774%0.352-0.035100%0.02
Tyrus Thomas0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.000.001059%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00861%0.042-0.02250%-0.00
Chris Duhon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.01-0.05667%0.064-0.0500%0.00
Malik Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.010.071661%0.062-0.054100%0.02
Andre Barrett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Viktor Khryapa0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.051342%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01250%-0.013-0.0700%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.02861%0.0800.001275%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.10-0.010.021173%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.06844%0.0510.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00545%0.0200.001100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.042100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01750%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.031041%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00325%-0.031-0.0320%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.030.01543%-0.021-0.044100%0.02
Chris Webber0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001142%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.00433%-0.024-0.101100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.832.019.028.13.829.4142.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +48.6%
DET -6.7%
CHI +14.3%
DET -2.7%
DET -3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game13.816.415.4111.691.7104.5
season14.516.8103.1106.1
opponent15.715.9101.798.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.313.212.915.613.8
DET18.015.019.013.816.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich81810.62-0.120.73-0.1827-93613.714.1-0.4317.112.34.78
P.J. Brown74740.53-0.030.56-0.1724-63013.813.8-0.0417.512.55.01
Luol Deng80790.470.030.44-0.061801813.515.1-1.6117.312.25.09
Chris Duhon74730.450.050.400.011531214.212.22.0416.217.0-0.78
Thabo Sefolosha80810.390.110.280.04126613.813.8-0.0216.415.90.51
Tyrus Thomas21230.320.180.13-0.211801812.914.0-1.1815.016.8-1.79
Andre Barrett770.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.013.80.246.417.1-10.72
Viktor Khryapa770.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.013.80.246.417.1-10.72
Michael Sweetney1414-0.040.54-0.590.01-220-2213.713.8-0.0816.016.4-0.43
Malik Allen1618-0.110.61-0.730.18-1028-3814.713.61.0910.717.7-6.94
Ben Gordon2123-0.120.62-0.730.00-422-2613.613.8-0.2719.315.43.87

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Webber51500.01-0.510.52-0.021-192017.115.61.4813.514.1-0.67
Nazr Mohammed1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-202211.217.2-5.9414.713.61.06
Lindsey Hunter4040-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-151214.517.7-3.2014.813.01.76
Jason Maxiell3535-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-12615.317.0-1.6114.713.31.39
Carlos Delfino4244-0.13-0.370.230.10-8-10215.117.4-2.2614.313.30.96
Ronald Murray6563-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-11414.819.7-4.9914.013.40.56
Richard Hamilton3133-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-8-220.314.55.7513.414.0-0.64
Antonio McDyess2927-0.39-0.11-0.290.14-180-1817.016.10.8613.314.0-0.73
Rasheed Wallace5857-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-13-5-817.514.62.8713.214.6-1.42
Tayshaun Prince5957-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.15-10-8-216.915.51.3813.713.9-0.24
Chauncey Billups5756-0.550.05-0.61-0.03-180-1817.514.72.7713.114.7-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 97, CHH 870.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
LAC 109, DAL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
NOK 114, MEM 1030.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%