NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	4.9 [850]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	1.8 [759]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): -13.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	18	73%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	14	79%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.05	7	70%	0.10	0	0.00	19	58%	-0.09
Austin Rivers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Alex Stepheson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	117%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	19	51%	0.08	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.04	-0.07	6	14%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	35%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	35.5	15.6	27.3	1.0	28.1	133.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.0%

DAL -12.3%

DAL -9.1%

LAC +16.3%

LAC +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.9	14.9	110.1	90.0	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		106.6	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		106.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	11.2	12.1	17.1	14.1
DAL	14.7	14.5	16.0	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.36	33	-14	47	13.1	18.2	-5.09	15.6	11.8	3.85
Chris Paul	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-2	23	14.3	13.8	0.48	15.9	13.5	2.38
Wesley Johnson	47	48	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	0	19	15.6	12.6	3.00	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Jamal Crawford	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.33	24	-5	29	13.0	15.8	-2.71	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Austin Rivers	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	6	7	14.9	13.1	1.74	13.4	16.7	-3.29
JJ Redick	54	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	7	5	12.9	15.5	-2.58	16.2	13.4	2.80
Paul Pierce	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	12	-5	13.1	14.8	-1.64	15.8	14.2	1.52
Jeff Green	43	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	27	-35	14.4	13.8	0.59	15.4	14.5	0.82
Alex Stepheson	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	17.5	13.9	3.58	6.8	15.3	-8.51
Cole Aldrich	18	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.30	-14	33	-47	18.2	13.1	5.09	11.8	15.6	-3.85
Pablo Prigioni	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	27	-35	14.3	13.9	0.39	13.5	15.6	-2.06

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-29	39	11.5	15.3	-3.85	19.3	13.4	5.86
Justin Anderson	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-29	39	11.5	15.3	-3.85	19.3	13.4	5.86
Salah Mejri	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-29	39	11.5	15.3	-3.85	19.3	13.4	5.86
Charlie Villanueva	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	12.8	15.3	-2.46	16.9	13.5	3.39
Zaza Pachulia	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-12	5	16.4	14.2	2.14	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Wesley Matthews	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-5	-9	15.7	13.8	1.91	13.1	15.3	-2.28
Deron Williams	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.20	-14	-5	-9	16.0	13.5	2.50	13.1	15.3	-2.28
Chandler Parsons	70	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.35	-20	1	-21	16.0	12.3	3.73	13.5	15.4	-1.87
David Lee	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-7	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.41	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Devin Harris	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-4	-11	14.2	15.2	-1.09	14.0	14.1	-0.09
Raymond Felton	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-9	-1	14.2	16.0	-1.81	15.3	12.1	3.23
Jose Juan Barea	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	1	-21	14.5	15.3	-0.81	12.6	15.6	-2.99
Dirk Nowitzki	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	0	-19	15.0	14.6	0.38	13.3	15.2	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, CHH 87	0.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 106, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 97, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0,0,0,0	94.5%