NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	108		Excitement	7.5 [342]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +25.4%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	2.7 [313]		LVP	Darius Songaila (WAS): -16.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	20	61%	0.28	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.17	0.02	16	56%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Adam Morrison	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.01	8	61%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Walter Herrmann	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.18	0.11	0.09	0.02	13	65%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Emeka Okafor	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	10	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.10	-0.03	18	58%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.10	-0.03	9	68%	0.23	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.02	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.01	14	63%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	53%	0.08	1	-0.07	14	71%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	32.2	15.6	25.4	1.7	34.3	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +25.2%

CHA +10.3%

WAS -1.9%

CHA +16.4%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	117.4	109.9	104.5
season	15.7	14.8		101.7	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		108.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.7	14.1	16.5	15.1	15.8
WAS	17.4	16.6	14.0	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	59	58	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.32	22	-14	36	14.4	18.3	-3.98	16.5	14.3	2.13
Gerald Wallace	85	86	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-3	14	15.7	16.4	-0.70	15.3	23.0	-7.73
Raymond Felton	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	3	2	15.9	15.5	0.38	15.1	18.2	-3.05
Emeka Okafor	65	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	6	-4	16.6	13.9	2.73	16.3	14.5	1.78
Walter Herrmann	66	65	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	10	-12	15.8	15.8	-0.09	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Primoz Brezec	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	14.4	16.4	-2.00	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Jake Voskuhl	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	7	-6	18.4	15.6	2.86	17.7	15.5	2.19
Adam Morrison	41	41	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	11	-14	15.5	16.0	-0.58	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Matt Carroll	32	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.12	2	6	-4	17.9	14.6	3.26	16.9	15.0	1.92

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-6	4	15.5	15.7	-0.20	17.2	15.7	1.53
Michael Ruffin	4	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	20.5	15.5	5.03	21.5	15.7	5.84
Antonio Daniels	85	86	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-8	8	15.6	17.7	-2.11	15.9	13.7	2.26
Etan Thomas	61	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-8	8	16.6	13.9	2.72	16.9	13.5	3.34
Antawn Jamison	77	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.3	18.0	-2.73	16.3	12.5	3.78
Darius Songaila	47	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	4	-16	17.0	14.3	2.62	14.2	17.9	-3.70
Calvin Booth	25	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.84	13.8	16.5	-2.67
DeShawn Stevenson	74	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-7	6	15.7	15.6	0.13	16.5	12.3	4.20
Jarvis Hayes	59	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.2	18.4	-4.14	16.0	15.5	0.51
Roger Mason Jr.	19	18	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	5	-18	16.3	15.5	0.72	11.7	16.8	-5.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.53,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.65,0.31,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.0%
CLE 98, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.17,0	91.6%
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	91.6%