NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	7.0 [421]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +19.7%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	5.1 [355]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -30.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0,0,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.2	0.06	0.17	0.03	20	57%	0.31	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.04
Mike Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	47%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
A.J. Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	77%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	80%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	16	50%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	14	41%	-0.11	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.5	15.7	25.8	2.5	35.6	133.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -19.2%

CLE +35.0%

CLE +2.3%

CLE +32.7%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.1	110.1	102.3	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	100.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	15.7	17.2	16.4	16.8
ORL	14.9	16.3	16.3	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	70	69	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.16	26	-17	43	16.6	17.4	-0.75	16.3	14.6	1.75
Matthew Dellavedova	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	17.0	16.3	0.69	16.1	15.5	0.53
Dion Waiters	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	6	-3	16.3	18.0	-1.78	15.6	16.7	-1.03
LeBron James	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	2	5	16.3	18.3	-2.04	16.0	15.6	0.47
Tristan Thompson	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	5	-1	16.9	16.1	0.85	16.2	14.9	1.29
Shawn Marion	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	9	-9	17.6	16.4	1.25	15.3	16.2	-0.99
Joe Harris	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	13.0	16.8	-3.82	0.0	15.9	-15.94
Kevin Love	61	60	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.12	2	7	-5	16.8	16.7	0.04	16.1	15.6	0.45
A.J. Price	13	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	16	-23	19.3	16.3	2.97	13.5	16.3	-2.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	33	33	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-17	25	14.3	16.9	-2.64	17.1	16.6	0.55
Elfrid Payton	43	43	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.13	0	-9	9	16.4	15.5	0.94	18.8	14.9	3.90
Dewayne Dedmon	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-11	13	15.9	16.0	-0.15	17.6	16.3	1.31
Kyle O'Quinn	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	1	-11	16.9	15.4	1.48	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Tobias Harris	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	16.0	15.9	0.06	16.5	17.6	-1.09
Nikola Vucevic	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	16.3	15.0	1.24	16.4	17.7	-1.31
Evan Fournier	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	15.4	17.4	-2.03	16.2	18.3	-2.12
Victor Oladipo	66	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	4	-17	16.3	14.8	1.49	16.1	19.0	-2.91
Ben Gordon	35	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	5	-19	15.8	16.0	-0.19	16.7	16.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.16,0	92.1%
MIN 97, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	91.9%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.8%