inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 72 Excitement3.6 [1086] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +15.3%
San Antonio Spurs 90 Comeback2.2 [1174] LVPJermaine O'Neal (IND): -18.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Diogu0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.020.05761%0.0500.00989%0.02
Maceo Baston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rawle Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00267%0.0010.002100%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00536%-0.0100.0010%-0.00
Troy Murphy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.001142%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Shawne Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01650%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01952%0.032-0.07333%-0.01
Danny Granger-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01841%-0.011-0.031100%0.00
Keith McLeod-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.0330%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.001026%-0.071-0.03367%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.18-0.03-0.021533%-0.076-0.1200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.160.020.021667%0.181-0.02862%-0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.040.073129%0.0700.001100%0.05
Francisco Elson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01878%0.112-0.052100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.01-0.05742%0.041-0.005100%0.03
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00856%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02933%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02250%0.004-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01748%-0.004-0.10757%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.834.015.628.21.827.2136.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +41.1%
SAS +7.3%
IND -3.7%
SAS +6.7%
IND -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDSASNBAINDSASNBA
this game16.816.115.482.8102.3104.5
season15.316.2101.3107.5
opponent15.415.398.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.718.616.515.116.8
SAS18.412.715.518.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Diogu37370.03-0.530.55-0.001-192016.017.3-1.2917.015.51.47
Maceo Baston780.01-0.510.530.07-2-161414.117.0-2.8616.716.10.66
Rawle Marshall1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-222615.317.0-1.6619.715.64.09
Jamaal Tinsley2829-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-161417.416.50.8715.716.4-0.68
Darrell Armstrong2727-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-151216.516.9-0.3616.815.90.91
Troy Murphy4344-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-141017.615.91.7016.216.10.16
Mike Dunleavy5960-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-11416.617.1-0.4415.816.8-0.94
Shawne Williams4948-0.32-0.18-0.130.07-13-5-816.417.2-0.7816.915.31.55
Jermaine O'Neal4848-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-8-216.217.4-1.1616.915.31.60
Keith McLeod3535-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-5-816.417.0-0.5715.416.6-1.19
Danny Granger5354-0.48-0.02-0.460.11-202-2217.615.52.0415.517.1-1.63
Jeff Foster3939-0.540.04-0.590.07-213-2417.616.11.5814.217.7-3.44

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen50480.67-0.170.85-0.1227-93614.817.9-3.1717.116.40.75
Tim Duncan56540.67-0.170.84-0.1227-93614.718.6-3.8417.815.22.61
Matt Bonner42400.370.130.25-0.101621416.515.80.6316.117.3-1.15
Tony Parker53510.320.180.13-0.03126615.816.7-0.9417.116.30.84
Brent Barry37360.250.250.000.02810-215.616.5-0.9516.916.70.16
Manu Ginobili45470.190.31-0.13-0.11108216.116.2-0.0316.916.70.18
Jacque Vaughn29300.180.32-0.14-0.11108216.216.10.0416.117.1-1.02
Francisco Elson48500.170.33-0.170.05414-1016.316.00.2715.818.0-2.19
Fabricio Oberto18170.010.49-0.490.04-119-2018.415.62.8216.116.9-0.81
Beno Udrih11100.000.50-0.500.12-422-2619.715.64.0915.317.0-1.66
Michael Finley3939-0.110.61-0.720.15-927-3617.914.73.1916.616.9-0.28
Robert Horry1213-0.220.72-0.930.08-1028-3817.715.91.7619.016.42.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 84, UTA 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIN 86, HOU 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,195.4%
WAS 95, SAS 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%