NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	3.8 [1013]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): +7.2%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.0 [764]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -16.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	56%	0.00	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	31%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	0.07	14	57%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	12	26%	-0.11	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	62%	0.08	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	4	67%	0.03	3	-0.02	13	77%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	56%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	26.5	16.5	30.4	1.7	39.0	139.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +50.7%

MIN -1.1%

HOU +0.7%

MIN -1.4%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.5	88.7	95.9	101.6
season	14.9	16.3		104.0	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		100.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.9	14.3	14.5	11.0	14.2
HOU	15.6	16.3	13.7	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Igor Rakocevic	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	11.7	16.0	-4.36	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Marc Jackson	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.0	14.3	-0.37	16.2	15.0	1.20
Kendall Gill	67	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-12	16	14.6	13.5	1.02	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Gary Trent	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	0	-8	16.0	13.2	2.80	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Joe Smith	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	13.3	15.5	-2.23	15.4	15.2	0.17
Kevin Garnett	88	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.35	2	-10	12	14.3	13.9	0.38	15.2	16.4	-1.26
Rasho Nesterovic	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	4	-16	15.7	12.2	3.58	15.1	15.6	-0.57
Troy Hudson	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-10	12	14.2	14.2	0.03	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Anthony Peeler	44	47	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.14	-22	14	-36	14.0	14.4	-0.43	15.7	14.9	0.86

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-1	10	15.3	15.3	0.05	15.6	11.6	3.99
Maurice Taylor	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	3	2	16.0	14.7	1.30	12.4	16.0	-3.56
Kelvin Cato	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	0	8	16.5	14.3	2.27	13.4	14.9	-1.47
Cuttino Mobley	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	0	8	15.0	16.4	-1.38	14.7	12.7	1.94
Moochie Norris	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	9	-10	15.7	14.8	0.90	12.0	17.0	-4.96
James Posey	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	6	-4	15.5	15.1	0.47	12.0	16.2	-4.17
Glen Rice	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	2	4	15.1	15.5	-0.47	16.2	12.0	4.17
Yao Ming	54	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	8	-8	14.3	16.5	-2.27	14.9	13.4	1.47
Eddie Griffin	50	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	5	-2	14.7	16.0	-1.30	16.0	12.4	3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 72, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DEN 100, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 68, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%