NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	100		Excitement	3.6 [1060]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +16.5%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	2.0 [1221]		LVP	Vincent Yarbrough (DEN): -15.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	59%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.06	-0.08	6	33%	-0.01	7	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.29	-0.01	0.12	13	111%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	14	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Rigaudeau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	57%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	28.2	16.4	26.6	2.6	24.2	125.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.3%

DAL +2.2%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +8.7%

DEN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.5	15.5	102.0	125.8	101.6
season	15.7	15.1		90.4	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		102.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.8	13.7	16.4	13.1	14.0
DAL	16.6	15.7	12.4	17.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-19	16	13.0	14.8	-1.82	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Vincent Yarbrough	65	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-26	30	13.7	14.8	-1.08	16.8	12.7	4.11
Donnell Harvey	50	49	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.34	-17	-5	-12	14.6	13.5	1.14	15.6	15.4	0.18
Chris Whitney	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.38	-19	-3	-16	13.7	14.4	-0.69	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Juwan Howard	50	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-16	10	14.2	13.9	0.33	16.2	14.8	1.37
Nene	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-8	-6	14.7	13.2	1.56	15.8	15.1	0.74
Junior Harrington	30	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-13	4	15.3	13.5	1.86	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-16	10	13.6	14.6	-1.00	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Rodney White	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-2	-18	14.1	14.0	0.07	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Chris Andersen	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-2	-18	13.9	14.1	-0.24	14.7	16.2	-1.51

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	59	62	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.18	30	-8	38	15.0	16.3	-1.38	14.9	12.6	2.26
Nick Van Exel	52	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.42	27	-5	32	14.8	16.3	-1.54	14.4	13.7	0.69
Shawn Bradley	46	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	-2	26	14.5	16.5	-1.99	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Steve Nash	35	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	12	-2	14.1	16.3	-2.27	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Raef LaFrentz	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	9	4	14.9	16.0	-1.03	15.0	13.3	1.68
Michael Finley	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	3	16	15.4	15.7	-0.25	14.7	13.0	1.66
Walt Williams	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	12	-2	15.9	14.9	1.05	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Adrian Griffin	52	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	27	-32	16.5	14.4	2.10	14.2	13.8	0.41
Popeye Jones	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	21	-20	16.1	15.3	0.80	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Avery Johnson	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	28	-34	17.5	14.9	2.60	13.1	14.3	-1.25
Antoine Rigaudeau	28	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	35	-48	17.7	14.6	3.06	12.1	14.8	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, DET 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NYK 68, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
TOR 103, WAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%