NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	2.3 [1275]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +7.2%
Denver Nuggets	131		Comeback	1.0 [701]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -6.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	2	133%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	0.00	0.11	19	61%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.07	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	8	59%	-0.02	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	-0.00	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	17	35%	-0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.35	0.00	0.27	22	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	12	83%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	20	66%	0.09	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	38%	-0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.6	15.6	25.4	2.4	25.5	126.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +43.2%

DEN +0.8%

PHX -0.1%

DEN +5.9%

DEN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	12.5	14.1	15.4	99.1	121.3	104.5
season	13.8	14.0		112.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		104.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.8	17.0	11.4	10.6	12.5
DEN	11.8	14.3	15.3	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	13	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-32	40	10.8	12.8	-2.00	12.9	14.3	-1.48
Jumaine Jones	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-31	38	8.9	12.9	-4.00	11.0	14.5	-3.49
Eric Piatkowski	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-16	8	14.5	12.2	2.33	14.6	14.1	0.54
James Jones	34	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-23	22	12.2	12.7	-0.51	13.2	14.6	-1.38
Leandro Barbosa	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-18	12	12.5	12.5	-0.03	14.1	14.1	0.03
Kurt Thomas	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-10	-4	11.9	13.3	-1.39	15.4	12.6	2.83
Boris Diaw	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-11	-2	12.7	12.2	0.48	14.2	13.9	0.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.46	-26	2	-28	12.9	12.1	0.81	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Shawn Marion	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.34	-23	-1	-22	12.5	12.6	-0.14	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Raja Bell	76	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-6	-12	13.0	11.3	1.73	14.5	13.3	1.28
Steve Nash	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.36	-26	2	-28	12.7	12.2	0.45	14.5	13.4	1.02

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	94	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.43	31	-7	38	14.6	11.3	3.28	12.6	12.0	0.60
Steve Blake	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	11	2	14.4	13.3	1.12	12.9	11.2	1.70
Marcus Camby	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.49	28	-4	32	13.8	14.7	-0.93	11.9	13.5	-1.59
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.52	28	-4	32	13.7	15.0	-1.23	12.4	12.9	-0.52
J.R. Smith	47	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	11	2	14.4	13.9	0.47	12.8	12.3	0.51
Eduardo Najera	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.44	24	0	24	13.1	14.7	-1.68	12.3	12.7	-0.34
Nene	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.20	14	10	4	14.0	14.2	-0.25	14.0	11.7	2.26
Linas Kleiza	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	21	-18	15.6	13.3	2.31	14.2	11.6	2.59
Reggie Evans	28	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	38	-52	15.5	13.7	1.79	10.6	13.2	-2.53
Jamal Sampson	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	31	-38	11.2	14.4	-3.12	9.2	12.7	-3.56
DerMarr Johnson	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	31	-38	11.2	14.4	-3.12	9.2	12.7	-3.56
Yakhouba Diawara	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	12.9	14.4	-1.42	11.2	12.7	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, MIL 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
BOS 100, PHX 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
TOR 101, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%