NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	2.0 [1235]		MVP	Johnny Newman (MIL): +10.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	124		Comeback	1.1 [988]		LVP	Rick Fox (BOS): -8.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brett Szabo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Brickowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Todd Day	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	9	68%	-0.00	2	-0.03	13	85%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	14	57%	0.02	7	-0.10	12	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	13	39%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	13	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	72%	0.03	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	16	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	-0.00	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	57%	-0.03	1	0.00	12	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	31.3	16.8	32.0	1.8	29.4	136.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.3%

BOS -2.2%

MIL +1.5%

MIL +13.5%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	15.6	102.0	125.3	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		101.8	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		106.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	17.2	14.2	13.4	14.7
MIL	14.4	12.1	14.6	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-30	38	11.3	15.3	-4.00	17.1	13.7	3.36
Marty Conlon	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-30	38	12.6	15.7	-3.07	15.9	13.4	2.54
Frank Brickowski	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-12	2	14.8	14.6	0.19	14.4	14.2	0.18
Eric Williams	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-21	20	14.1	15.1	-1.03	14.7	13.9	0.86
Todd Day	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-18	14	14.1	15.9	-1.76	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Pervis Ellison	32	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.37	-22	0	-22	16.0	14.0	2.00	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Antoine Walker	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-11	0	14.2	15.6	-1.43	14.7	13.5	1.26
Rick Fox	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-3	-16	16.0	12.8	3.17	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Dana Barros	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.31	-24	2	-26	14.9	13.4	1.53	13.8	17.3	-3.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.39	28	-6	34	12.8	16.4	-3.53	15.5	13.5	1.99
Armen Gilliam	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	9	4	14.2	14.4	-0.23	14.9	14.2	0.70
Johnny Newman	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	5	12	14.1	14.4	-0.30	15.3	14.2	1.09
Vin Baker	45	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.37	24	-2	26	13.5	14.9	-1.44	15.0	14.3	0.71
Elliot Perry	41	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	16	-10	15.7	13.3	2.37	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Sherman Douglas	58	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.22	16	6	10	13.3	15.7	-2.37	14.9	14.4	0.50
Andrew Lang	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	12	-2	13.8	14.8	-0.98	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Ray Allen	43	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	14	-6	13.6	14.8	-1.22	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Joe Wolf	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	20	-18	15.6	13.5	2.15	14.7	14.6	0.11
Darrin Hancock	12	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	25	-28	18.7	13.7	5.09	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Shawn Respert	31	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	28	-34	16.1	13.4	2.66	13.4	15.2	-1.77
David Wood	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	16.3	14.0	2.34	11.1	15.2	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 58, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
PHX 107, DEN 131	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
SAS 87, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%