inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 112 Excitement5.5 [729] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +24.7%
Indiana Pacers 96 Comeback1.6 [912] LVPMike Dunleavy (IND): -10.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.130.06-0.062261%0.293-0.041377%0.04
Darius Songaila0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.040.025100%0.1300.002100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.012063%0.182-0.06367%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.010.062100%0.061-0.036100%0.02
Etan Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.01750%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.02941%0.032-0.05450%-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00550%-0.022-0.032100%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.0010%-0.0600.0020%-0.05

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.011456%0.132-0.061567%-0.04
Danny Granger0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.011173%0.133-0.074100%0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.01-0.031265%0.123-0.072100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00658%0.071-0.04786%0.02
Orien Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rawle Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.000.04850%-0.031-0.0220%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.0010%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.011540%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.430.315.530.42.531.2136.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +31.1%
IND -6.0%
WAS +4.3%
WAS +19.1%
WAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASINDNBAWASINDNBA
this game13.315.715.4112.097.0104.5
season14.815.3107.8101.3
opponent15.315.3103.9108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.113.911.215.113.3
IND16.914.916.114.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson72710.440.060.390.001511413.413.10.2915.715.60.10
Jarvis Hayes49480.430.070.370.021421213.613.00.5315.615.8-0.18
Antonio Daniels53530.390.110.280.011331013.812.71.0115.515.8-0.32
Brendan Haywood51510.310.190.130.0597213.612.90.7114.716.7-2.04
Darius Songaila31310.300.200.10-0.02115613.913.00.8616.715.21.46
Gilbert Arenas80800.280.220.06-0.04115612.815.2-2.4615.118.2-3.07
Etan Thomas18180.220.28-0.06-0.07106413.513.20.2716.615.51.07
Antawn Jamison77760.130.37-0.250.07214-1212.715.2-2.5215.416.7-1.38
Roger Mason Jr.11100.060.44-0.380.06016-1614.813.11.7319.415.34.14
Caron Butler2727-0.030.53-0.560.03-218-2013.413.20.2316.215.50.70
Michael Ruffin3130-0.040.54-0.570.05-319-2212.613.6-1.0116.815.21.66

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rawle Marshall45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151416.715.61.1213.213.3-0.08
Orien Greene1011-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-131016.715.61.1410.313.7-3.38
David Harrison78-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-131018.915.43.4210.413.5-3.16
Keith McLeod4445-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-141216.115.30.8315.011.93.17
Ike Diogu2222-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-10415.215.8-0.6413.013.4-0.36
Troy Murphy8283-0.24-0.260.02-0.10-5-11615.516.5-1.0313.213.8-0.58
Jermaine O'Neal6159-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-4-815.216.4-1.2514.711.33.37
Darrell Armstrong5555-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-14-2-1215.316.1-0.8311.915.0-3.17
Shawne Williams4143-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-2-1216.615.11.5112.314.0-1.63
Mike Dunleavy8281-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-10-6-415.317.6-2.3114.010.33.66
Danny Granger8788-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.11-10-6-415.814.51.3413.015.5-2.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 110, BOS 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.33,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.1%
GSW 106, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
MIL 112, CHI 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.06,0,093.9%