inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement6.3 [568] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +30.8%
Atlanta Hawks 96 Comeback1.1 [1046] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -16.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.310,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.170.13-0.011675%0.373-0.068100%0.05
Manu Ginobili0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.220.110.032268%0.393-0.091593%0.06
Brent Barry0.170,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.100.021162%0.1700.00786%0.03
Fabricio Oberto0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Michael Finley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00333%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.020.01714%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.001421%-0.121-0.0100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.120.100.001364%0.241-0.021070%-0.04
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001100%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.020.011254%0.054-0.072100%0.01
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.032948%0.022-0.06520%-0.05
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.031247%-0.051-0.031060%-0.03
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.001426%-0.112-0.05650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.82.431.415.827.21.834.2144.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +18.4%
SAS +29.7%
SAS +0.2%
ATL -0.1%
SAS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASATLNBASASATLNBA
this game15.914.415.4108.4101.1104.5
season16.216.1107.5101.1
opponent15.315.4106.198.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.915.016.316.515.9
ATL14.115.014.314.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen64630.86-0.361.220.2720-133315.416.9-1.4815.811.74.01
Jacque Vaughn48490.480.020.450.248-1914.017.8-3.8114.214.6-0.43
Manu Ginobili68670.440.060.370.2370714.718.9-4.1213.516.6-3.11
Brent Barry63630.360.140.230.2252316.514.71.7414.414.40.05
Tim Duncan73730.300.200.100.36-29-1116.713.33.4314.215.0-0.71
Fabricio Oberto26260.250.25-0.00-0.019-21113.916.7-2.7814.414.40.02
Tony Parker44440.120.38-0.250.1016-518.313.94.4114.714.20.46
Francisco Elson22240.110.39-0.28-0.0143114.616.3-1.7117.013.53.46
Michael Finley38400.080.42-0.330.11-18-917.314.92.3914.114.6-0.54
Beno Udrih32-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-29-1111.316.1-4.7214.014.4-0.42
Matt Bonner2624-0.400.90-1.310.01-1421-3517.515.32.2511.815.3-3.50

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Salim Stoudamire19180.07-0.570.63-0.147-142114.314.4-0.1817.215.61.56
Solomon Jones440.06-0.560.62-0.033-101310.014.6-4.6016.515.90.62
Royal Ivey1616-0.06-0.440.380.00-2-5316.713.92.8113.216.4-3.19
Shelden Williams1615-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-1-512.514.8-2.3013.916.3-2.34
Lorenzen Wright2729-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-3-116.613.53.0515.716.0-0.31
Zaza Pachulia4646-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-8913.515.3-1.8517.014.82.21
Speedy Claxton4142-0.22-0.280.060.05-92-1114.114.6-0.5116.115.70.38
Joe Johnson9392-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.361-8914.414.00.4216.28.37.82
Josh Childress7169-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.24-6-1-514.215.0-0.7916.115.50.56
Josh Smith7173-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.25-6-1-514.713.51.2716.314.51.77
Marvin Williams7171-0.660.16-0.82-0.25-147-2114.414.40.0514.918.9-3.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 86, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,093.0%
CHA 105, BKN 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,092.9%
CHH 120, NJN 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,092.8%