NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	3.5 [1093]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +12.6%
Washington Wizards	73		Comeback	1.2 [350]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -19.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.02	0.07	8	82%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	55%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	4	73%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.21	-0.00	-0.02	14	33%	-0.04	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	90%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.05	15	27%	-0.07	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	28.1	14.7	27.5	1.8	28.5	124.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +49.3%

WAS -1.6%

POR +6.5%

WAS -4.8%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	17.9	15.1	15.4	108.0	83.0	104.5
season	16.7	14.8		103.1	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	18.2	19.8	16.0	17.9
WAS	16.0	13.7	14.5	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	4	13	18.2	16.7	1.52	15.5	13.4	2.08
Juan Dixon	48	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	-1	23	17.3	18.6	-1.25	14.8	15.4	-0.55
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	3	15	17.4	18.8	-1.40	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Martell Webster	48	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	3	15	16.8	19.2	-2.32	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Jamaal Magloire	27	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.38	22	-1	23	18.4	17.6	0.72	15.4	14.9	0.49
Zach Randolph	52	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	16	-11	17.9	17.8	0.12	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Brandon Roy	53	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	19	-17	18.5	16.9	1.53	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Ime Udoka	39	37	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	18	-15	19.2	16.8	2.32	15.5	14.7	0.74
Travis Outlaw	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	24	-27	16.5	18.1	-1.57	12.8	15.4	-2.59
Joel Przybilla	26	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	21	-21	19.0	17.4	1.61	16.7	14.4	2.32
Dan Dickau	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	13.2	18.2	-5.06	11.8	15.3	-3.46

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donell Taylor	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	13.5	15.3	-1.83	16.6	18.1	-1.42
Andray Blatche	48	48	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	15.2	14.9	0.33	18.0	17.7	0.33
Brendan Haywood	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-15	9	15.9	14.2	1.75	18.7	17.1	1.58
Roger Mason Jr.	20	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-17	13	13.9	15.4	-1.43	18.4	17.7	0.70
Caron Butler	52	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.22	-14	-7	-7	15.6	14.3	1.32	17.4	18.7	-1.33
Calvin Booth	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.23	-15	-6	-9	16.5	14.8	1.74	13.8	18.6	-4.73
Antonio Daniels	33	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.30	-19	-2	-17	14.8	15.2	-0.33	17.6	18.0	-0.37
Gilbert Arenas	59	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.17	-15	-6	-9	15.5	14.1	1.37	17.9	17.8	0.04
Darius Songaila	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	-5	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.51	18.9	17.4	1.42
DeShawn Stevenson	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-12	3	15.2	14.9	0.33	17.9	17.8	0.09
Jarvis Hayes	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-13	5	13.7	16.1	-2.40	18.5	17.4	1.02
Michael Ruffin	40	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-12	3	14.6	15.4	-0.84	17.8	17.9	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 97, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0	95.7%
SAS 83, MEM 73	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%