NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	135		Excitement	14.9 [5]		MVP	Ime Udoka (POR): +25.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	132		Comeback	10.0 [92]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -53.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.09	0.02	10	84%	0.26	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.16,0.16	-0.00	0.14	-0.02	13	59%	0.41	4	-0.25	1	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	7	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	64%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	0.00	-0.17	0.02	11	45%	-0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0,0.05,0.12,-0.1,-0.2,-0.34,-0.28,-0.33,-0.5,-0.5,-0.77,-0.63,-0.55,-0.47,-0.47,-0.4	-0.04	-0.40	-0.04	40	46%	-0.32	4	-0.09	11	82%	-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.00	5	64%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.00	11	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.32	3	-0.25	9	67%	-0.10
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.12	-0.22	0.04	22	56%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53	-0.53	-0.11	-0.42	-0.00	20	53%	-0.18	9	-0.36	5	40%	-0.30

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	22.6	16.3	29.2	2.5	37.0	1.7	12.2	2.5	13.2	167.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -13.2%

POR +19.3%

POR +28.1%

POR +20.1%

MEM -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.4	117.4	115.8	104.5
season	16.7	15.1		103.1	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		110.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.9	19.0	14.3	16.4	14.8	15.8
MEM	13.3	13.7	13.9	17.9	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	70	67	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.49	12	-9	21	15.6	16.2	-0.69	15.3	13.6	1.68
Jarrett Jack	86	84	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	15.2	17.8	-2.63	14.6	14.4	0.22
Brandon Roy	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.6	16.3	-0.62	15.5	12.3	3.23
Ime Udoka	82	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.50	0	3	-3	15.1	17.5	-2.41	14.5	14.8	-0.39
Zach Randolph	93	92	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	5	-7	15.9	15.7	0.18	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Raef LaFrentz	9	8	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	-3	9	18.0	15.6	2.36	12.4	14.7	-2.35
LaMarcus Aldridge	15	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	4	-5	14.3	16.1	-1.79	15.6	14.4	1.21
Juan Dixon	30	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	16.8	15.5	1.36	11.6	15.6	-4.04
Sergio Rodriguez	33	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	17.1	15.3	1.77	15.1	14.3	0.83
Martell Webster	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	4	-5	16.2	15.7	0.50	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Jamaal Magloire	40	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	8	-13	17.4	15.0	2.45	14.0	14.9	-0.84

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	41	40	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.01	7	-10	17	13.7	15.1	-1.37	16.0	15.7	0.27
Alexander Johnson	22	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-9	15	13.5	14.8	-1.32	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Eddie Jones	58	59	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-4	5	14.8	14.4	0.40	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Jake Tsakalidis	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	12.4	14.7	-2.27	17.6	15.7	1.86
Tarence Kinsey	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-6	9	8.0	14.6	-6.62	1.0	16.0	-14.96
Rudy Gay	20	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	13.0	14.9	-1.83	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Lawrence Roberts	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-3	3	14.5	14.6	-0.18	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Mike Miller	101	103	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-6	9	14.6	14.5	0.03	15.9	15.3	0.55
Pau Gasol	97	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	14.8	12.9	1.90	15.9	15.6	0.28
Hakim Warrick	50	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	8	-19	14.9	14.3	0.57	16.7	15.1	1.55
Dahntay Jones	49	49	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	5	-13	14.9	14.3	0.66	15.8	15.8	0.02
Chucky Atkins	72	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.31	-13	10	-23	15.2	13.5	1.61	15.9	15.6	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 120, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.39,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.17,0.09,0.01,0	87.2%
LAL 105, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	86.0%
IND 102, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.05,0	86.0%