NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	8.2 [246]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): +64.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	8.0 [144]		LVP	Brian Cook (LAL): -11.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,-0.02,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	24	52%	0.21	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	8	78%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	20	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.03	9	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	40%	-0.01	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.65	0.65	0.18	0.46	0.00	7	114%	0.65	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.20	-0.01	20	53%	0.31	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.07
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Smush Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.6	16.4	25.2	2.0	34.2	130.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.3%

LAL +17.7%

DAL -23.0%

DAL -5.4%

DAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	17.5	14.2	15.4	107.7	111.0	104.5
season	16.3	15.3		108.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.6	19.2	15.4	20.1	17.5
LAL	14.4	14.2	14.6	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	29	29	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.00	12	-15	27	15.1	18.6	-3.46	15.4	13.6	1.75
DeSagana Diop	52	49	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-10	17	17.7	17.1	0.63	15.3	12.9	2.38
Greg Buckner	16	16	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-11	19	16.4	17.7	-1.24	16.3	13.7	2.58
Erick Dampier	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	3	-9	17.5	17.4	0.06	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Dirk Nowitzki	75	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	2	-7	16.7	20.9	-4.14	14.4	13.2	1.18
Jason Terry	75	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	5	-13	17.4	17.9	-0.50	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Josh Howard	80	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	8	-19	17.9	14.5	3.32	13.6	18.3	-4.65
Devean George	36	36	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.61	-2	-1	-1	18.7	16.7	2.04	14.6	13.9	0.70
Devin Harris	58	59	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	7	-17	18.4	15.8	2.58	13.0	16.4	-3.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	79	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-10	23	13.9	16.3	-2.47	17.3	18.2	-0.91
Luke Walton	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	14.1	14.7	-0.57	16.6	21.5	-4.90
Smush Parker	54	53	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-6	15	13.2	15.6	-2.46	17.3	17.7	-0.38
Sasha Vujacic	34	33	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.55	2	1	1	14.5	14.0	0.50	19.5	16.3	3.13
Ronny Turiaf	55	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	2	-1	14.0	14.4	-0.43	16.9	18.2	-1.27
Maurice Evans	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	15.6	13.6	2.00	21.2	16.0	5.22
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	1	1	14.9	13.7	1.25	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Andrew Bynum	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	1	1	14.4	14.0	0.43	18.2	16.9	1.27
Brian Cook	39	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	11	-19	13.3	14.8	-1.49	17.2	17.7	-0.47
Jordan Farmar	21	22	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.09	-14	17	-31	16.4	13.5	2.85	14.6	18.4	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	91.6%
SAS 90, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.26,1	91.3%
IND 100, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.28,1	91.3%