NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	90		Excitement	7.9 [261]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +68.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	12.1 [143]		LVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): -12.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	8	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	10	55%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	19	56%	0.16	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.09
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	6	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.11	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	12	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.68	0.68	0.06	0.62	-0.00	17	66%	0.78	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.06
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.09	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	27.3	15.6	23.2	1.8	34.8	126.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.0%

SAS -6.8%

MEM +7.8%

MEM +11.7%

MEM +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.4	98.9	101.1	104.1
season	15.2	16.5		106.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	14.8	17.2	17.0	15.8
MEM	16.1	15.2	16.2	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	39	39	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.01	9	-11	20	15.4	16.1	-0.66	15.6	16.0	-0.34
Nando De Colo	33	33	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.02	7	-9	16	14.9	16.3	-1.42	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Gary Neal	51	51	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.19	11	-13	24	15.8	15.8	0.07	16.6	14.8	1.76
Tiago Splitter	47	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.16	-7	5	-12	16.0	15.7	0.30	15.9	15.8	0.04
Matt Bonner	37	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.60	5	-7	12	15.5	16.0	-0.55	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Danny Green	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	7	-16	15.2	17.1	-1.90	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Stephen Jackson	64	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	5	-12	16.2	14.8	1.42	15.8	16.0	-0.28
Tony Parker	61	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	6	-14	16.4	14.6	1.86	16.0	15.5	0.52
Boris Diaw	59	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.45	-11	9	-20	16.2	15.2	0.97	16.1	15.4	0.73

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	55	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-7	16	15.9	15.7	0.23	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Mike Conley	66	66	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-9	20	15.8	16.0	-0.28	16.4	14.2	2.28
Tayshaun Prince	54	54	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-5	12	15.9	15.8	0.13	16.6	14.6	1.96
Marc Gasol	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-1	4	16.4	14.5	1.87	16.0	15.5	0.45
Jerryd Bayless	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	4	-6	15.1	17.0	-1.97	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Tony Allen	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	16.6	15.3	1.23	16.3	15.5	0.86
Austin Daye	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	-2	6	16.0	15.8	0.28	16.8	15.5	1.36
Ed Davis	28	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	4	-6	15.4	16.0	-0.59	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Darrell Arthur	28	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.1	15.7	0.39	16.6	15.5	1.15
Tony Wroten	14	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	11	-20	15.3	15.9	-0.65	11.1	16.7	-5.60
Quincy Pondexter	31	31	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	10	-18	15.3	16.1	-0.78	14.3	16.6	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	91.3%
HOU 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.28,1	91.2%
PHI 80, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.29,0.06,0.27,1	91.0%