NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	3.9 [1023]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIL): +19.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.1 [705]		LVP	Brian Skinner (MIL): -8.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.05	-0.06	12	67%	0.21	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	12	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	17	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
David Noel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	16	71%	0.14	3	-0.03	9	56%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	0.08	10	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	7	6%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.9	2.6	29.0	17.8	24.3	2.5	29.5	124.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +33.4%

MIL +4.5%

MIL +3.9%

MIL +8.6%

MEM -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.4	119.1	102.1	104.5
season	15.2	15.1		105.3	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		110.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.2	14.3	16.1	15.8	15.6
MEM	17.3	13.9	15.9	13.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	44	47	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.20	23	-7	30	14.4	16.6	-2.25	14.2	15.9	-1.72
Andrew Bogut	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	0	16	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.6	13.0	3.57
Mo Williams	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-5	26	16.2	13.6	2.54	16.0	12.0	4.05
Michael Redd	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	2	12	15.2	16.3	-1.15	16.0	13.3	2.74
Charlie Bell	79	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	2	12	16.0	13.5	2.52	15.7	12.2	3.51
Charlie Villanueva	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	8	0	16.0	15.2	0.85	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Brian Skinner	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	10	-4	17.2	13.5	3.73	16.8	13.0	3.74
David Noel	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	19	-22	15.8	15.5	0.31	11.3	16.0	-4.75
Dan Gadzuric	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	14	-12	14.4	15.8	-1.41	12.8	15.5	-2.68
Damir Markota	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	10.6	16.1	-5.56	9.5	15.6	-6.07
Ersan Ilyasova	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	25	-34	12.1	16.0	-3.90	11.0	15.5	-4.54
Chris McCray	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	23	-30	13.9	15.9	-1.93	10.7	15.8	-5.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-23	30	11.2	15.6	-4.36	12.9	16.0	-3.06
Tarence Kinsey	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-20	24	12.7	15.6	-2.88	16.6	15.3	1.25
Pau Gasol	50	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-9	2	16.9	13.0	3.86	17.5	13.1	4.46
Rudy Gay	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-12	8	12.7	16.8	-4.05	13.8	16.8	-2.93
Eddie Jones	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-8	0	13.8	15.9	-2.09	14.4	16.3	-1.98
Chucky Atkins	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-8	0	13.1	17.4	-4.29	15.2	16.0	-0.76
Damon Stoudamire	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-8	0	17.4	13.1	4.29	16.0	15.2	0.76
Alexander Johnson	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.22	-17	1	-18	16.7	13.2	3.47	16.6	14.4	2.15
Dahntay Jones	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-9	2	15.7	13.8	1.95	16.0	14.8	1.28
Mike Miller	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	0	-16	15.7	13.8	1.81	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Hakim Warrick	46	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	0	-16	14.5	15.5	-1.00	14.4	16.6	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHA 110, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%