NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	126		Excitement	6.0 [622]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +20.3%
Sacramento Kings	119		Comeback	3.0 [265]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (SAC): -17.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	17	70%	0.27	4	-0.09	13	77%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.08	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	23	57%	0.13	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05
Jarvis Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	20	49%	0.01	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.01	0.04	23	70%	0.26	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.01	14	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.08	11	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	16	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	13	38%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	29.9	19.3	28.5	3.5	36.2	146.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.6%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +19.2%

WAS +3.3%

WAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	15.4	120.0	114.4	104.5
season	14.8	14.7		107.8	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	15.8	11.1	17.1	14.5
SAC	12.0	15.5	13.8	11.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	84	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-11	29	14.0	16.5	-2.49	13.0	13.0	0.02
Antawn Jamison	95	94	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-8	23	14.3	16.9	-2.62	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Gilbert Arenas	100	100	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	14.4	16.6	-2.17	12.7	22.0	-9.34
DeShawn Stevenson	64	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-2	11	13.8	15.7	-1.97	13.5	12.4	1.07
Caron Butler	89	88	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	8	-9	14.0	17.6	-3.57	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Jarvis Hayes	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	9	-11	16.5	13.6	2.85	14.1	12.5	1.58
Antonio Daniels	54	54	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	14	-21	16.1	12.9	3.25	12.8	13.2	-0.39
Calvin Booth	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	12	-17	18.5	14.3	4.21	14.4	12.9	1.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-8	9	11.5	13.2	-1.72	16.3	14.3	2.03
Ronnie Price	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-9	11	10.5	13.1	-2.57	17.7	14.4	3.23
Francisco Garcia	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	13.2	13.0	0.25	15.8	14.1	1.61
Corliss Williamson	39	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	13.3	12.8	0.46	15.7	13.8	1.85
Kenny Thomas	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	12.5	13.3	-0.80	14.1	14.8	-0.64
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.2	11.8	2.39	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Mike Bibby	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-4	1	12.8	13.8	-1.00	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Brad Miller	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-4	1	12.5	14.7	-2.24	14.2	15.6	-1.38
John Salmons	96	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	13.2	10.4	2.86	14.6	14.2	0.31
Kevin Martin	101	101	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	1	-9	13.1	11.3	1.74	14.2	23.7	-9.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.21,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%
GSW 122, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%