NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	5.7 [671]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +15.8%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	2.4 [501]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -21.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	7	88%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	10	71%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Nene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	10	29%	-0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	23	37%	-0.06	7	-0.15	2	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	29.0	15.8	28.2	2.7	29.4	131.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.8%

NYK -3.3%

NYK -1.3%

WAS +14.3%

WAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.9	15.1	110.1	94.3	104.2
season	15.1	16.1		102.9	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	15.0	13.6	19.9	15.6
NYK	15.5	17.7	18.5	16.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	60	58	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.07	20	-5	25	14.8	17.3	-2.51	16.3	18.1	-1.82
Paul Pierce	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	14.2	17.9	-3.69	16.7	17.3	-0.55
John Wall	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	5	5	14.2	18.5	-4.30	16.0	18.8	-2.83
Kevin Seraphin	38	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	8	-1	17.4	14.3	3.10	18.5	15.9	2.58
Drew Gooden	39	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	16.0	15.3	0.73	17.1	16.7	0.40
Nene	46	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	7	1	14.8	16.4	-1.59	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Otto Porter	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	11	-7	17.5	13.4	4.04	16.9	17.0	-0.12
Andre Miller	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	14	-13	18.5	14.4	4.11	19.1	16.0	3.14
Marcin Gortat	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	12	-9	13.9	17.3	-3.40	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Glen Rice Jr.	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	16	-17	17.8	14.7	3.15	17.5	16.7	0.86
DeJuan Blair	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	20.0	15.5	4.53	15.0	17.0	-1.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.0	17.2	-6.21	17.8	15.5	2.31
Shane Larkin	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-10	5	15.7	18.5	-2.76	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-13	11	17.4	16.3	1.06	16.2	14.8	1.38
Cole Aldrich	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-10	5	16.5	17.1	-0.56	15.3	15.8	-0.46
Iman Shumpert	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-9	3	17.1	16.6	0.49	16.2	14.7	1.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	17	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	17.2	16.9	0.38	16.5	15.3	1.19
Jason Smith	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	16.4	17.4	-0.96	14.3	16.9	-2.53
Carmelo Anthony	71	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-8	1	16.9	17.2	-0.38	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Samuel Dalembert	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-3	-9	17.1	16.8	0.21	14.4	16.5	-2.10
J.R. Smith	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-7	-1	17.3	16.5	0.82	16.5	14.8	1.74
Pablo Prigioni	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	18.5	15.7	2.76	16.5	15.0	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0	94.8%
SAC 110, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%