NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	4.6 [910]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +13.9%
Miami Heat	98		Comeback	1.4 [935]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): -7.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	24	66%	0.29	7	-0.15	14	79%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.04	9	72%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.0	30.5	15.7	25.4	2.4	29.3	133.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.0%

MEM -8.6%

MIA +20.7%

MEM -3.8%

MIA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.4	100.0	111.4	104.5
season	15.1	16.0		105.1	102.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		104.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.6	16.2	15.2	16.1	16.3
MIA	15.0	13.8	15.4	20.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	13.7	16.6	-2.91	18.0	15.8	2.19
Tarence Kinsey	2	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	4.5	16.5	-12.05	10.7	16.3	-5.60
Pau Gasol	32	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.8	15.4	2.38	15.9	16.2	-0.22
Alexander Johnson	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-10	12	16.5	16.0	0.50	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Dahntay Jones	69	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-6	4	16.4	15.7	0.73	17.0	13.2	3.73
Eddie Jones	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	16.0	16.6	-0.52	16.7	15.3	1.48
Rudy Gay	29	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	4	-16	17.5	15.7	1.78	15.1	16.5	-1.37
Hakim Warrick	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-6	4	15.4	17.8	-2.38	16.2	15.9	0.22
Chucky Atkins	63	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	16.3	16.2	0.13	15.0	18.3	-3.28
Mike Miller	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	0	-8	16.3	15.9	0.44	16.1	15.4	0.71

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	73	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-6	20	15.9	16.9	-0.95	16.1	17.4	-1.28
Dorell Wright	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	16.3	15.2	1.06	16.4	15.8	0.57
Michael Doleac	30	31	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-8	24	16.7	15.8	0.94	16.3	16.3	-0.03
James Posey	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	16.4	15.6	0.80	15.6	17.2	-1.55
Alonzo Mourning	39	41	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	0	8	14.5	17.3	-2.81	17.7	15.1	2.63
Jason Kapono	37	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	15.6	16.4	-0.74	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Antoine Walker	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	9	-10	17.8	14.7	3.13	16.9	15.8	1.09
Udonis Haslem	46	49	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	14	-20	15.8	16.4	-0.53	16.1	16.5	-0.48
Jason Williams	50	49	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	13	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.74	16.2	16.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, PHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 112, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.8%
BOS 84, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.8%