NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	9.7 [91]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): +38.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	105		Comeback	1.7 [727]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -26.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.08	0.01	14	93%	0.38	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	13	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,0.07	-0.10	0.16	-0.01	14	38%	0.16	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.15
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.2,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	14	41%	-0.05	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	9	57%	-0.06	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,0.38	0.38	-0.03	0.41	-0.00	16	50%	0.59	3	-0.20	2	0%	-0.12
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	11	78%	0.32	1	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	14	47%	-0.11	0	0.00	10	100%	0.10
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	0.00	21	41%	-0.18	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	28.5	14.6	24.0	1.8	37.0	136.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -14.9%

SEA +25.8%

SEA +46.7%

IND -10.5%

SEA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	15.4	105.1	106.1	104.5
season	15.3	15.4		101.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.7	13.1	14.7	15.5	13.6
SEA	14.4	14.6	15.9	18.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	42	40	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.17	3	-5	8	14.1	13.3	0.85	16.3	15.1	1.22
Sarunas Jasikevicius	32	31	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-9	16	13.7	13.6	0.08	18.0	14.5	3.50
Darrell Armstrong	12	13	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-5	8	17.3	13.1	4.22	17.2	15.4	1.79
Maceo Baston	28	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.07	8	-10	18	10.3	15.0	-4.69	16.9	15.1	1.79
Rawle Marshall	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	11.0	13.7	-2.69	25.0	15.5	9.50
Danny Granger	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.59	12	-14	26	12.9	15.5	-2.63	15.7	15.3	0.49
Jeff Foster	27	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	12	-26	13.0	13.9	-0.92	13.7	16.5	-2.79
Jermaine O'Neal	54	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	2	-6	14.4	12.7	1.73	15.6	15.6	0.05
Stephen Jackson	80	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.55	-3	1	-4	13.8	12.9	0.84	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Al Harrington	83	83	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.50	-8	6	-14	14.4	9.6	4.76	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Jamaal Tinsley	61	63	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.49	-14	12	-26	13.5	13.9	-0.46	14.2	18.1	-3.87

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	70	69	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.46	13	-11	24	14.5	18.3	-3.89	13.7	13.5	0.16
Nick Collison	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-6	14	14.6	17.5	-2.90	14.7	11.6	3.10
Ray Allen	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	15.3	16.9	-1.53	13.4	14.7	-1.22
Rashard Lewis	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	15.5	17.0	-1.54	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Mickael Gelabale	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	0	2	16.2	15.0	1.18	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Chris Wilcox	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	-6	14	15.2	16.0	-0.78	13.8	13.4	0.42
Damien Wilkins	27	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	17.0	15.1	1.88	13.7	13.6	0.08
Johan Petro	28	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	14	-26	17.4	14.9	2.56	12.1	14.2	-2.10
Earl Watson	29	29	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	13	-24	18.3	14.5	3.89	13.5	13.7	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.39,0.31,0.72,0.57,0.57,1	91.2%
SAC 79, SAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	91.2%
TOR 101, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.57,0.42,1	91.0%