NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	79		Excitement	8.9 [102]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +8.5%
San Antonio Spurs	82		Comeback	1.7 [787]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -33.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	11	30%	-0.08	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.15,-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.01	24	50%	-0.06	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	8	26%	-0.25	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	18	40%	-0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	9	11%	-0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.12	0.12	-0.03	22	46%	0.15	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	8	56%	-0.07	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.09
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	12	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	11	33%	-0.19	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.4	28.2	16.0	24.0	1.8	36.5	130.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +100.6%

SAC -16.4%

SAC -47.9%

SAS +11.5%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.5	84.0	86.3	100.9
season	14.4	15.9		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		96.5	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.7	18.6	16.1	15.6
SAS	14.7	16.0	14.1	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	33	36	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.01	10	-13	23	13.5	16.8	-3.27	17.0	13.5	3.43
Hedo Turkoglu	25	27	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-6	9	15.4	15.7	-0.27	17.5	13.8	3.69
Jon Barry	43	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	14.9	16.3	-1.39	15.1	14.6	0.55
Lawrence Funderburke	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	3	-9	16.9	15.5	1.44	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Jason Williams	54	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.6	0.07	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Bobby Jackson	40	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.1	14.6	0.54
Chris Webber	83	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-6	9	15.5	16.9	-1.44	14.9	14.1	0.83
Doug Christie	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.4	0.46	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Peja Stojakovic	70	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.51	-6	3	-9	15.9	14.9	1.03	13.8	17.7	-3.87
Vlade Divac	57	55	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	12	-27	17.0	13.5	3.50	14.1	15.8	-1.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	59	58	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.59	4	-1	5	13.6	16.9	-3.30	16.1	14.9	1.26
David Robinson	49	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	14.1	15.7	-1.61	16.6	14.6	1.99
Derek Anderson	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	14.7	15.4	-0.78	16.1	14.0	2.08
Tim Duncan	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	15.1	12.4	2.73	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Danny Ferry	22	19	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	-2	7	15.6	14.6	1.03	17.3	15.2	2.04
Sean Elliott	73	75	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	5	-7	14.6	15.6	-1.03	15.2	17.3	-2.04
Ira Newble	2	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	2	-1	10.0	14.9	-4.95	19.0	15.6	3.40
Terry Porter	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	2	-1	15.4	14.7	0.78	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Malik Rose	54	53	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	15.3	14.3	1.01	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Antonio Daniels	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.17	-1	4	-5	16.9	13.6	3.30	14.9	16.1	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 99, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.92,1	92.1%
WAS 86, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	91.5%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.3%