NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	8.9 [154]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +37.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	2.2 [803]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -62.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.16	-0.01	15	56%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	-0.06	0.01	14	79%	0.19	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	18	53%	-0.00	3	-0.12	9	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.63	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.63	-0.24	-0.39	-0.01	16	22%	-0.54	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.37	0.37	0.00	0.35	-0.02	23	62%	0.58	6	-0.21	12	100%	0.10
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	61%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.00	25	62%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	2	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.22	0.00	5	64%	-0.04	2	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.6	15.7	24.1	1.8	32.0	131.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.6%

PHI +4.6%

TOR -2.1%

TOR -4.6%

PHI +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.5	103.1	106.2	104.0
season	15.1	13.9		104.8	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	17.8	15.1	14.8	15.3
PHI	13.0	13.5	14.3	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-6	10	14.6	15.5	-0.87	16.8	13.5	3.31
Milt Palacio	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	1	-4	16.8	14.5	2.33	15.1	13.8	1.37
Morris Peterson	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	5	-12	14.8	15.7	-0.92	13.6	14.9	-1.35
Donyell Marshall	66	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-8	14	15.0	15.8	-0.75	14.9	13.0	1.91
Matt Bonner	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.47	8	-10	18	15.9	14.8	1.06	15.1	13.6	1.52
Aaron Williams	32	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	6	-14	15.8	15.0	0.75	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Rafer Alston	78	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-2	2	15.0	16.4	-1.48	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Jalen Rose	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	15.2	15.7	-0.60	13.5	17.1	-3.64
Chris Bosh	90	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.65	14.2	14.9	-0.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	83	82	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.29	21	-19	40	13.7	17.6	-3.87	16.0	11.5	4.51
Andre Iguodala	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-7	16	13.1	17.7	-4.59	15.3	15.2	0.06
Samuel Dalembert	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.65	-4	6	-10	13.9	15.0	-1.03	14.5	17.0	-2.44
Allen Iverson	95	96	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	14.1	20.5	-6.37	15.4	7.5	7.94
Aaron McKie	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	5	-8	15.1	13.3	1.85	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Kyle Korver	52	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	1	0	14.1	14.4	-0.31	14.7	16.0	-1.27
John Salmons	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	6	-10	17.1	13.5	3.64	16.0	15.1	0.98
Josh Davis	20	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.15	-2	4	-6	15.7	13.9	1.88	16.2	15.0	1.16
Rodney Rogers	24	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	15.8	13.7	2.09	14.2	15.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.55,0.58,1	92.1%
MEM 101, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.65,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.42,1	92.1%
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	91.9%