NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +23.4%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	3.0 [539]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -35.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Selden	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.24,0.46,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.01	14	80%	0.25	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Myke Henry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.04	0.10	-0.09	-0.03	18	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Ivan Rabb	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jarell Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	62%	0.10	6	-0.26	5	100%	0.03
Dillon Brooks	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.24	-0.09	-0.17	-0.02	19	32%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	0.01	6	62%	0.23	0	0.00	12	67%	0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.01	12	70%	0.18	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.04
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	8	72%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	77%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Joe Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.36	-0.36	-0.12	-0.23	0.01	12	50%	-0.05	7	-0.31	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	23.1	14.7	27.1	2.5	30.9	125.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.5%

IND +19.6%

MEM -18.2%

IND +1.9%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	14.7	111.0	115.4	107.5
season	15.4	14.8		103.4	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.6		106.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	16.4	17.1	19.6	16.6
IND	14.2	16.3	15.0	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	24	25	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.27	5	-9	14	18.3	16.0	2.25	15.8	14.7	1.03
Myke Henry	41	43	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-15	26	16.7	16.6	0.17	16.6	13.6	3.02
Jarell Martin	63	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-5	6	16.9	16.0	0.97	15.4	14.2	1.19
Ivan Rabb	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	2	-8	15.3	18.0	-2.71	15.0	15.0	0.02
Ben McLemore	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	3	-10	15.5	17.3	-1.76	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Wayne Selden	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	16.8	16.3	0.57	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Marc Gasol	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	16.7	16.4	0.30	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Dillon Brooks	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	16.9	15.1	1.88	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Andrew Harrison	48	48	-1.11	0.61	-1.71	-0.78	-11	7	-18	16.5	16.7	-0.20	13.9	16.2	-2.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	65	65	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	14.2	17.0	-2.84	16.0	18.2	-2.12
Thaddeus Young	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-4	12	14.7	16.0	-1.38	17.3	14.8	2.45
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-2	8	14.4	16.6	-2.19	17.3	14.7	2.56
Victor Oladipo	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-2	8	14.9	15.3	-0.38	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Cory Joseph	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	7	-10	15.9	14.3	1.59	16.8	16.5	0.33
Darren Collison	67	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-1	6	14.5	16.3	-1.80	16.0	18.4	-2.36
Joe Young	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	17.9	14.8	3.08	15.5	16.7	-1.25
Lance Stephenson	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	9	-14	15.9	14.6	1.30	17.2	16.4	0.83
Domantas Sabonis	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	10	-16	16.3	14.1	2.22	16.8	16.5	0.35
TJ Leaf	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.8	14.7	3.07	14.4	16.9	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.65,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	92.6%
TOR 101, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.57,0.42,1	92.1%
ATL 86, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.63,1	91.2%