inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 86 Excitement7.1 [421] MVPHakim Warrick (MEM): +28.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Comeback6.0 [163] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -22.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.060.051275%0.193-0.08875%0.01
Tony Battie0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.00771%0.142-0.0900%0.00
Trevor Ariza0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.02433%0.0100.001100%0.00
Grant Hill-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.070.001064%0.073-0.10580%0.04
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.03-0.05-0.041246%0.092-0.132100%0.01
Keith Bogans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.01540%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.06-0.00625%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.0050%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.180,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.07-0.021635%-0.064-0.122100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakim Warrick0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.24,0.19,0.28,0.280.280.070.20-0.011960%0.373-0.09580%0.04
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.160.160.090.080.01692%0.211-0.0600%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.070.021064%0.1500.00560%-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.040.02585%0.1200.003100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00669%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Lawrence Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.00343%0.0500.001100%0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00636%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.060.01833%-0.1000.00250%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.00725%-0.1000.002100%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.07-0.011217%-0.152-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.827.216.024.12.535.5134.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +26.5%
MEM +5.6%
ORL -15.6%
MEM +32.3%
MEM +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMEMNBAORLMEMNBA
this game15.016.115.492.5103.3104.5
season15.915.1103.4105.1
opponent15.115.7110.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.915.413.016.115.0
MEM17.714.617.015.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic34330.08-0.580.660.080-9914.915.1-0.2116.016.2-0.20
Hedo Turkoglu6665-0.03-0.470.45-0.144-131715.114.90.2216.016.4-0.39
Jameer Nelson6766-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-131714.017.7-3.7315.717.0-1.31
Keith Bogans2525-0.12-0.380.260.08-7-2-514.815.1-0.3317.115.71.35
Trevor Ariza1111-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-3-317.514.72.8414.016.4-2.38
Keyon Dooling2425-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-1-716.814.42.4114.916.5-1.62
Dwight Howard8179-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-6314.518.7-4.1616.215.30.92
Carlos Arroyo2626-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-134-1717.714.03.7317.015.71.31
Tony Battie5555-0.580.08-0.66-0.31-90-915.514.41.1416.914.91.97
Grant Hill7675-0.600.10-0.69-0.39-7-2-514.417.8-3.3315.916.9-1.03

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jake Tsakalidis48481.04-0.541.590.1730-215114.318.0-3.7315.514.60.94
Kyle Lowry58610.72-0.220.940.1121-123315.117.8-2.7414.715.6-0.89
Chucky Atkins58570.58-0.080.660.3481716.116.00.1115.214.70.48
Hakim Warrick65650.430.070.370.3245-115.617.4-1.8515.214.70.42
Mike Miller54530.420.080.340.4209-916.016.2-0.2414.915.2-0.36
Dahntay Jones42440.100.40-0.30-0.2211-21316.216.00.2115.714.51.21
Damon Stoudamire4646-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-211-1316.515.70.8515.414.70.78
Lawrence Roberts1618-0.140.64-0.78-0.02-413-1719.015.53.5116.614.71.94
Rudy Gay4545-0.170.67-0.840.00-615-2117.714.63.1614.215.8-1.55
Stromile Swift2828-0.420.92-1.350.07-1726-4317.515.52.0213.215.8-2.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.47,0.63,0.77,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 93, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,192.2%
NYK 71, DET 800.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,191.2%
SAS 89, PHX 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,191.2%