NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	72		Excitement	7.1 [415]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +15.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	82		Comeback	1.6 [724]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -28.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	22	65%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03	-0.07	0.05	0.01	9	41%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	16	35%	-0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Tyrus Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29	-0.16	-0.14	-0.01	7	25%	-0.16	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.08	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.12	7	-0.21	9	78%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	30.0	18.7	29.7	2.8	36.5	147.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.3%

LAL +9.9%

LAL +11.6%

CHI -10.2%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.4	80.0	90.1	104.5
season	14.5	15.3		103.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.9		107.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	17.0	14.7	16.2	15.9
LAL	16.4	15.1	16.5	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	63	64	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-17	24	15.4	16.8	-1.37	16.0	15.9	0.16
P.J. Brown	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	15.0	16.1	-1.10	17.3	15.6	1.71
Luol Deng	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-8	6	15.8	15.9	-0.09	15.4	17.4	-1.98
Chris Duhon	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	0	-10	15.0	16.4	-1.47	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Kirk Hinrich	41	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-7	4	16.5	15.3	1.21	16.5	15.5	0.99
Ben Wallace	78	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.22	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Thabo Sefolosha	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	16.3	15.4	0.86	16.3	15.6	0.68
Tyrus Thomas	22	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	3	-16	16.5	15.7	0.79	16.1	15.9	0.16
Andres Nocioni	82	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	4	-18	16.2	12.1	4.09	15.8	17.4	-1.64

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	37	37	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-7	24	15.5	16.3	-0.72	16.1	15.7	0.47
Maurice Evans	25	25	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-1	12	17.8	15.3	2.53	18.3	14.9	3.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	20	21	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	1	8	18.7	15.2	3.50	16.9	15.6	1.31
Lamar Odom	83	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	15.9	16.2	-0.31	15.9	15.0	0.93
Kobe Bryant	78	76	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	7	-4	15.7	17.5	-1.83	15.0	20.4	-5.33
Luke Walton	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	15.5	17.0	-1.49	15.8	16.0	-0.17
Shammond Williams	9	9	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	6	-2	15.8	16.0	-0.21	20.0	15.4	4.60
Sasha Vujacic	14	12	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	7	-4	12.1	16.7	-4.60	11.2	16.6	-5.41
Brian Cook	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	8	-6	13.7	16.1	-2.32	16.7	15.8	0.94
Jordan Farmar	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	8	-6	16.7	15.8	0.97	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Smush Parker	51	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.9	15.8	0.17
Andrew Bynum	54	53	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	17	-24	16.3	15.5	0.72	15.7	16.1	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.84,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.1%
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
CHH 96, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.9%