NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	4.3 [966]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): +15.8%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.6 [564]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -18.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.04	10	59%	0.02	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	3	12%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	54%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.01	0.07	6	62%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	14	27%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.03	0.02	19	68%	0.16	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	5	90%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	19	47%	-0.01	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	6	31%	-0.02	4	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	28.7	15.6	33.1	2.6	28.8	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.9%

IND -9.2%

BOS +21.0%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	15.4	87.1	111.8	104.5
season	15.3	15.5		101.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	14.6	14.8	11.6	13.9
BOS	16.9	15.4	14.5	12.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sarunas Jasikevicius	30	30	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-28	30	12.6	14.5	-1.88	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Marquis Daniels	54	54	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.18	-6	-20	14	13.2	14.7	-1.56	15.8	13.0	2.84
Darrell Armstrong	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-28	30	11.4	14.3	-2.93	16.5	14.1	2.41
David Harrison	14	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	10.9	14.4	-3.52	11.8	14.9	-3.14
Orien Greene	24	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-20	14	11.3	14.7	-3.41	12.3	15.2	-2.86
Jeff Foster	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-24	22	13.2	14.4	-1.24	15.1	14.1	1.03
Rawle Marshall	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-15	4	13.4	14.2	-0.71	12.5	15.7	-3.20
Stephen Jackson	50	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-14	2	14.2	13.6	0.65	14.6	14.4	0.18
Al Harrington	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-7	-12	14.2	13.2	1.01	14.7	14.1	0.53
Danny Granger	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-9	-8	15.4	12.4	2.95	15.4	13.6	1.73
Jermaine O'Neal	69	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.36	-32	6	-38	14.9	11.8	3.04	14.6	14.3	0.28
Jamaal Tinsley	50	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.25	-28	2	-30	15.7	12.2	3.50	14.1	14.8	-0.71

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.29	29	-3	32	14.2	14.9	-0.64	15.2	12.0	3.14
Paul Pierce	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	6	14	15.1	13.3	1.77	15.3	11.4	3.89
Ryan Gomes	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	9	8	15.4	13.3	2.13	15.4	12.0	3.37
Kendrick Perkins	53	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	9	8	14.9	14.0	0.85	15.8	11.9	3.91
Sebastian Telfair	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	22	-18	14.7	14.3	0.44	15.2	13.1	2.14
Rajon Rondo	62	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.44	22	4	18	14.3	14.7	-0.44	13.1	15.2	-2.14
Michael Olowokandi	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	15	-4	15.0	14.3	0.73	12.5	14.3	-1.82
Tony Allen	21	20	0.04	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	22	-18	13.3	14.8	-1.50	10.3	14.8	-4.42
Delonte West	57	56	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.19	7	19	-12	14.2	14.8	-0.57	11.9	16.4	-4.52
Gerald Green	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.19	6	20	-14	13.1	15.2	-2.12	11.9	15.0	-3.15
Leon Powe	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	28	-30	12.7	15.0	-2.32	11.7	14.6	-2.81
Brian Scalabrine	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	31	-36	16.2	14.3	1.91	13.2	14.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NJN 98, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%