NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	6.2 [586]		MVP	Sarunas Jasikevicius (IND): +30.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	99		Comeback	2.7 [296]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -17.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.11	-0.01	6	91%	0.32	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	4	112%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.08	-0.04	16	50%	0.18	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
David Harrison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08
Sean May	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	86%	0.13	6	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	19	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.05	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	0.05	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	0.8	33.6	15.8	32.2	2.5	35.4	148.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +3.3%

IND +6.6%

IND +13.1%

IND +24.2%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	13.4	13.9	15.4	100.0	94.3	104.5
season	15.3	15.7		101.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.1	13.6	14.0	15.0	13.4
CHA	14.2	14.6	13.1	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	64	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-3	13	14.8	11.2	3.65	15.4	11.8	3.67
Jeff Foster	56	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-11	29	12.7	14.1	-1.42	14.5	13.4	1.09
Darrell Armstrong	28	27	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-6	19	15.6	12.6	3.09	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Marquis Daniels	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-2	11	13.9	13.0	0.94	15.4	12.9	2.46
Sarunas Jasikevicius	45	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	3	1	12.7	13.9	-1.14	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Jamaal Tinsley	61	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	5	-3	13.4	13.3	0.06	13.9	14.0	-0.16
Stephen Jackson	78	76	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	8	-9	12.7	15.2	-2.51	13.0	16.4	-3.43
David Harrison	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	1	5	11.8	13.8	-2.04	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Al Harrington	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	13	-19	15.5	12.0	3.45	14.5	13.6	0.94
Danny Granger	63	63	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	12	-17	12.6	14.5	-1.96	12.9	15.5	-2.69
Rawle Marshall	6	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	15	-23	9.2	13.6	-4.45	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Maceo Baston	18	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	14	-21	11.3	13.8	-2.52	12.1	14.3	-2.27

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	30	31	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-18	29	13.9	13.9	-0.00	13.1	13.5	-0.34
Othella Harrington	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	13.0	14.2	-1.24	13.8	13.2	0.57
Jake Voskuhl	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	11.8	14.4	-2.55	10.3	14.1	-3.78
Brevin Knight	74	75	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	14.4	12.9	1.46	13.6	12.8	0.75
Melvin Ely	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	12.3	14.1	-1.85	9.7	13.8	-4.06
Adam Morrison	69	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	13.1	15.4	-2.30	13.9	12.1	1.80
Bernard Robinson	40	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	8	-23	14.6	13.5	1.16	12.5	13.9	-1.31
Raymond Felton	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	7	-21	13.8	14.2	-0.43	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Matt Carroll	43	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	13.6	14.2	-0.56	13.0	13.6	-0.59
Emeka Okafor	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.4	11.8	2.55	14.1	10.3	3.78
Sean May	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.8	12.3	2.48	14.3	11.6	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	93.7%
POR 88, MIN 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0	93.6%
CLE 93, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.5%