NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	7.0 [439]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +38.9%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	74.8 [29]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -34.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	17	61%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	5	83%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	70%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	4	83%	0.11	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
David Harrison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	14	42%	-0.05	1	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.35	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.35	-0.07	-0.27	0.01	12	41%	-0.29	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.22

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,0.35,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.30	0.01	13	77%	0.49	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	17	41%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	11	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.2	15.4	26.5	2.4	34.5	130.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.4%

CHI +4.9%

IND -28.4%

CHI +32.8%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.6	107.9	113.3	104.4
season	16.0	14.4		102.3	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.5		102.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	15.1	18.8	16.4	16.6
CHI	17.2	17.0	14.0	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	27	28	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.10	7	-13	20	15.0	17.3	-2.38	16.1	15.3	0.78
Austin Croshere	10	10	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-12	18	16.1	16.7	-0.58	19.2	15.1	4.09
Sarunas Jasikevicius	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	-4	2	15.6	17.3	-1.66	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Jamaal Tinsley	46	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-2	-2	17.1	16.1	0.97	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Danny Granger	45	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-1	-4	15.0	18.3	-3.32	15.6	15.5	0.15
Stephen Jackson	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	16.6	16.8	-0.22	14.6	19.3	-4.75
Anthony Johnson	49	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-6	6	15.8	17.6	-1.78	16.4	14.5	1.89
Jeff Foster	49	46	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	-2	-2	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.6	15.5	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	52	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	2	-10	17.8	14.9	2.91	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	60	61	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.38	-14	8	-22	17.5	14.7	2.86	15.3	16.0	-0.69

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	62	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-6	18	15.5	15.8	-0.37	16.4	17.2	-0.82
Michael Sweetney	32	34	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-7	20	14.9	15.9	-1.02	18.4	15.5	2.81
Ben Gordon	43	45	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	15.2	15.9	-0.64	16.9	16.3	0.64
Andres Nocioni	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	2	2	15.6	15.2	0.44	17.2	13.4	3.87
Kirk Hinrich	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	10	-14	15.7	14.9	0.84	16.8	15.7	1.06
Chris Duhon	56	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	-5	16	15.8	15.1	0.72	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Luol Deng	59	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	1	4	15.7	15.2	0.52	15.6	18.3	-2.63
Jannero Pargo	11	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	14.0	15.8	-1.78	12.9	17.0	-4.15
Malik Allen	38	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	18	-30	16.0	15.2	0.80	16.2	16.9	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.31,0.45,0.34,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	92.0%
CHI 110, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	91.4%
POR 107, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	90.6%