NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	93		Excitement	4.6 [910]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	1.6 [958]		LVP	Linton Johnson (NOK): -13.8%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	17	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.07	20	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.16	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	17	65%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.4	17.4	23.0	1.8	30.5	128.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.3%

DET +10.3%

DET +13.9%

NOK -15.3%

DET +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	DET	NBA	NOK	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	108.1	114.8	104.4
season	16.3	16.9		101.2	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		101.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	17.1	14.7	17.5	15.3	16.2
DET	16.4	16.6	15.3	19.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	40	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-9	10	17.0	15.4	1.54	16.6	17.2	-0.58
Brandon Bass	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-1	-6	18.6	15.6	2.97	18.5	16.6	1.84
Linton Johnson	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-10	12	15.9	16.4	-0.50	17.2	16.5	0.69
J.R. Smith	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	1	-10	17.9	15.6	2.31	16.6	17.0	-0.42
Chris Paul	67	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-9	10	15.6	17.9	-2.31	17.0	16.6	0.42
David West	71	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-7	6	15.6	18.6	-2.97	16.6	18.5	-1.84
Aaron Williams	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	15.4	17.0	-1.54	17.2	16.6	0.58
Speedy Claxton	51	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	15.7	16.8	-1.05	16.4	17.7	-1.28
Rasual Butler	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	1	-10	16.6	14.0	2.61	17.1	16.2	0.92

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-9	26	16.0	18.7	-2.67	17.3	13.8	3.51
Ben Wallace	64	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-5	18	16.7	17.5	-0.71	16.7	14.7	1.94
Antonio McDyess	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	17.1	16.2	0.93	15.4	19.1	-3.67
Tony Delk	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-1	10	16.3	17.4	-1.16	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Chauncey Billups	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	9	-10	17.2	16.1	1.05	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Lindsey Hunter	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-1	10	16.1	17.2	-1.05	16.3	16.1	0.18
Dale Davis	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	10	-12	16.9	17.0	-0.07	16.6	15.7	0.87
Richard Hamilton	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	9	-10	17.4	16.3	1.16	16.4	15.8	0.59
Maurice Evans	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	8	-8	16.4	17.1	-0.74	13.4	17.0	-3.52
Carlos Delfino	9	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	17	-26	24.1	16.1	7.98	14.6	16.3	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
PHX 89, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%