NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	4.8 [884]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +17.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.9 [292]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -14.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	80%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	11	79%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	10	50%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.03	13	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	69%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	24	46%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	19	36%	-0.11	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	28.5	15.7	28.2	2.5	28.2	134.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.3%

ORL +9.8%

ORL +17.0%

PHI -18.3%

ORL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.6	112.1	95.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.2		104.4	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.6	13.8	17.3	18.7	15.7
PHI	18.5	15.0	17.0	14.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	58	58	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.05	21	-5	26	15.2	16.8	-1.63	16.6	15.2	1.33
Trevor Ariza	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-5	26	15.3	16.3	-0.94	16.0	16.2	-0.27
Carlos Arroyo	49	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	2	12	15.0	16.7	-1.71	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Darko Milicic	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	2	12	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.9	16.9	-2.05
DeShawn Stevenson	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	5	6	15.7	15.8	-0.02	14.4	18.0	-3.58
Tony Battie	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	10	-4	16.6	13.8	2.83	16.2	15.9	0.27
Dwight Howard	67	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	18	-20	16.4	13.8	2.60	17.0	13.6	3.43
Jameer Nelson	47	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	18	-20	16.8	14.6	2.24	16.2	15.9	0.32
Hedo Turkoglu	32	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	19	-22	14.7	16.3	-1.59	17.5	15.4	2.13

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	45	43	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.21	13	-29	42	16.6	15.5	1.13	16.3	15.3	1.01
Shavlik Randolph	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-15	14	17.9	15.9	1.97	18.4	15.5	2.99
John Salmons	21	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-13	10	15.5	16.2	-0.72	13.8	16.4	-2.60
Andre Iguodala	78	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-8	0	15.9	16.9	-0.97	15.9	14.9	1.05
Kevin Ollie	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-5	-6	17.0	15.3	1.75	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Samuel Dalembert	34	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.14	-17	1	-18	16.0	16.1	-0.13	17.3	14.8	2.45
Allen Iverson	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-2	-12	16.0	17.7	-1.70	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Chris Webber	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	4	-24	16.0	16.6	-0.67	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Kyle Korver	64	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.03	-19	3	-22	15.5	17.5	-2.00	15.4	16.7	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.37,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAC 97, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0	94.1%
UTA 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%