NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	2.7 [1246]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +16.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	1.0 [1242]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -8.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	12	72%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.05	9	85%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	13	65%	0.04	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Esteban Batista	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.08	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.24	0.00	0.08	11	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	22	52%	0.09	3	-0.04	12	67%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.08	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	20	52%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.2	15.5	29.2	3.0	31.2	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.1%

PHI +3.6%

PHI +9.2%

PHI +13.4%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.6	110.4	118.6	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		103.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	17.3	14.0	13.7	14.7
PHI	14.3	15.5	16.7	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.37	11	-20	31	12.3	15.3	-3.05	14.0	15.5	-1.58
Josh Childress	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-14	19	13.4	17.6	-4.18	13.9	18.4	-4.57
Marvin Williams	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-6	3	14.4	15.2	-0.78	14.0	17.6	-3.58
Josh Smith	85	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-8	7	14.0	19.8	-5.82	15.3	14.2	1.18
Joe Johnson	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	4	-17	14.9	14.2	0.65	15.3	14.9	0.45
Royal Ivey	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	15.8	13.1	2.72	16.1	13.8	2.27
Zaza Pachulia	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	7	-23	16.0	12.9	3.08	16.7	13.1	3.63
Al Harrington	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	13	-35	15.6	12.8	2.73	15.7	14.2	1.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.18	23	-14	37	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.2	10.6	4.67
Chris Webber	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-13	35	16.1	13.3	2.79	15.7	12.7	3.00
Kevin Ollie	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	6	-3	16.0	13.6	2.44	14.1	15.7	-1.65
Steven Hunter	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-2	13	14.6	15.7	-1.05	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Kyle Korver	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	9	-9	14.8	16.0	-1.13	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Andre Iguodala	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	3	3	14.7	16.0	-1.22	14.1	15.7	-1.52
John Salmons	52	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	15	-21	14.1	16.4	-2.28	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Samuel Dalembert	23	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	1	7	16.7	14.7	2.05	16.6	13.9	2.67
Matt Barnes	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	14.9	15.2	-0.31	11.4	15.0	-3.56
Michael Bradley	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	14.9	15.2	-0.31	11.4	15.0	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NOK 79, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIA 81, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%