NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	4.9 [867]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +29.6%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.6 [377]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (DAL): -9.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.11	0.00	16	74%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.03	19	58%	0.16	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	13	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	19	59%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	22	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	63%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	18	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.2	28.5	15.8	25.1	1.8	27.2	122.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.4%

DAL +7.0%

WAS -1.8%

WAS -3.2%

DAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	18.1	15.5	15.6	120.9	110.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.1		109.0	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.9	14.2	19.6	23.3	18.1
WAS	15.9	15.2	16.4	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-1	12	18.6	15.1	3.50	15.6	14.7	0.94
Dirk Nowitzki	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	1	8	18.3	17.0	1.27	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Jason Terry	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	18.5	16.7	1.80	15.2	16.6	-1.42
DeSagana Diop	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	0	10	17.2	19.1	-1.92	16.0	15.0	0.93
Jerry Stackhouse	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	6	-2	18.3	17.9	0.37	15.8	15.1	0.70
Rawle Marshall	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	17.9	18.3	-0.37	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Erick Dampier	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	19.1	17.2	1.92	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Darrell Armstrong	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	11	-12	16.1	19.2	-3.08	16.0	15.3	0.66
Josh Powell	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	9	-8	17.0	18.3	-1.27	16.2	15.4	0.77

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	22	22	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-15	20	15.2	15.6	-0.41	13.8	19.6	-5.81
Awvee Storey	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	4.0	15.7	-11.67	14.5	18.2	-3.73
Donell Taylor	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-9	8	17.7	15.3	2.38	18.0	18.1	-0.15
Calvin Booth	13	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	16.2	15.4	0.74	19.8	17.9	1.97
Etan Thomas	26	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	14.5	16.0	-1.48	20.0	17.2	2.76
Antonio Daniels	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-8	6	15.2	16.2	-1.08	17.7	19.0	-1.25
Jared Jeffries	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	16.2	15.2	1.08	19.0	17.7	1.25
Brendan Haywood	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	16.5	14.9	1.60	18.7	17.8	0.86
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	0	-10	15.8	11.6	4.18	18.2	17.7	0.51
Caron Butler	76	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.0	20.1	-5.12	18.2	17.5	0.69
Gilbert Arenas	84	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.7	4.0	11.67	18.2	14.5	3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, PHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHH 102, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NJN 94, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%