NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	4.2 [991]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +10.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	84		Comeback	1.0 [638]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -14.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.18	4	-0.08	10	100%	0.04
Nenad Krstic	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	68%	0.12	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	43%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	27.1	1.8	31.1	132.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +54.7%

NJN +13.8%

NJN +4.7%

NOK -24.4%

NJN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOK	NBA	NJN	NOK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	102.2	89.4	104.4
season	15.7	16.3		102.1	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	14.1	14.2	17.8	15.2
NOK	16.1	18.0	13.5	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.04	20	-9	29	14.7	18.8	-4.12	16.2	11.3	4.93
Vince Carter	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	15.1	15.7	-0.57	16.1	14.0	2.03
Jason Kidd	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-2	15	15.0	16.1	-1.16	16.3	13.4	2.93
Richard Jefferson	75	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	2	7	14.5	18.6	-4.10	15.0	18.1	-3.13
Jason Collins	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	1	9	15.0	15.6	-0.58	16.3	14.2	2.07
Jacque Vaughn	31	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	9	-7	14.5	15.6	-1.19	13.0	16.9	-3.89
Antoine Wright	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	15.3	15.2	0.04	17.9	15.0	2.84
Zoran Planinic	24	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	14	-17	18.1	14.2	3.88	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Clifford Robinson	35	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	23	-35	18.1	13.5	4.55	13.7	16.8	-3.05

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-14	17	17.6	14.8	2.73	19.5	13.7	5.84
Aaron Williams	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-12	13	14.3	16.9	-2.65	16.8	13.5	3.27
Kirk Snyder	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	17.7	13.8	3.87	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Rasual Butler	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-7	3	16.3	15.1	1.26	16.4	14.5	1.86
P.J. Brown	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.9	14.2	2.72	13.8	16.6	-2.81
David West	58	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.95	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Chris Paul	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-6	1	15.0	21.9	-6.91	15.3	14.7	0.64
Speedy Claxton	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.7	17.0	-2.34	16.1	13.8	2.31
Desmond Mason	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	4	-19	14.9	17.3	-2.48	14.0	18.5	-4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0	95.3%
DET 76, PHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.02,0,0	94.3%
BOS 92, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0	94.3%