NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	76		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	Greg Buckner (PHI): +2.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	66		Comeback	1.0 [580]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -27.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	12	60%	0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Mike James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	11	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05
Corliss Williamson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	9	42%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	6	8%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	11	35%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	13	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	12	33%	-0.11	5	-0.16	6	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	32.1	15.5	32.2	1.6	32.4	135.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +59.6%

DET +4.1%

PHI -13.6%

PHI -7.8%

DET +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	17.5	15.7	86.4	74.2	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		99.2	96.7
opponent	15.8	16.0		99.5	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	14.5	13.7	17.3	15.0
PHI	18.3	18.9	16.8	16.2	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	62	63	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-8	26	14.3	16.7	-2.36	18.3	15.8	2.50
Richard Hamilton	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	14.2	18.4	-4.14	17.3	18.7	-1.44
Tayshaun Prince	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	0	10	14.7	16.2	-1.48	18.3	14.8	3.53
Ben Wallace	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	1	8	14.4	18.4	-3.98	17.3	18.9	-1.60
Chauncey Billups	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	4	2	15.2	14.2	0.90	17.7	16.6	1.11
Mehmet Okur	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	10	-10	17.7	14.1	3.52	17.9	17.4	0.43
Darvin Ham	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	6	-2	18.6	14.8	3.83	23.0	17.1	5.86
Mike James	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.18	-4	14	-18	15.8	14.6	1.22	15.1	18.7	-3.61
Corliss Williamson	35	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	16.5	14.0	2.53	16.3	18.4	-2.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	21	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-11	12	16.1	18.0	-1.89	17.4	14.2	3.20
Zendon Hamilton	10	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-9	8	17.1	17.6	-0.49	17.6	14.7	2.90
Amal McCaskill	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-1	-8	20.7	16.7	4.00	15.1	15.0	0.08
Greg Buckner	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-13	16	16.5	18.3	-1.86	16.7	13.6	3.15
Willie Green	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	15.2	19.3	-4.02	16.6	13.8	2.72
Aaron McKie	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-2	-6	19.2	16.0	3.22	12.8	17.0	-4.17
Eric Snow	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	17.5	18.0	-0.53	14.9	15.3	-0.32
Kenny Thomas	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-7	4	17.0	20.2	-3.17	15.3	13.3	2.03
Glenn Robinson	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	19.0	15.6	3.42	13.1	17.4	-4.35
Samuel Dalembert	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	17.5	17.6	-0.03	14.5	17.5	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0	94.8%
ATL 107, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.5%
DET 107, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.4%