NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	8.7 [179]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +52.4%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	22.6 [88]		LVP	John Salmons (PHI): -28.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	87%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Steven Hunter	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	31	42%	-0.00	3	-0.09	14	86%	0.04
John Salmons	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	12	21%	-0.10	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.52	0.52	0.09	0.44	0.01	18	63%	0.62	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.08
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	18	66%	0.19	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	17	35%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	9	52%	0.12	5	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.6	32.6	16.4	27.5	2.4	45.5	150.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +67.3%

PHI -5.6%

PHI -15.4%

BOS +4.8%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	15.6	99.0	101.0	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		104.1	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		104.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	13.8	14.5	14.2	14.8
BOS	12.2	16.8	15.5	9.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	62	62	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-7	11	15.5	13.6	1.94	14.2	12.0	2.16
Kyle Korver	62	64	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-13	23	14.3	15.4	-1.14	13.5	13.2	0.27
Matt Barnes	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-4	5	14.3	14.9	-0.61	14.4	13.0	1.40
Kevin Ollie	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.1	1.65	14.2	12.9	1.29
Shavlik Randolph	2	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	0	-3	7.0	14.9	-7.91	20.0	13.2	6.78
Samuel Dalembert	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	2	-7	15.1	14.6	0.48	15.3	12.8	2.52
Steven Hunter	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	14.4	15.4	-0.94	12.5	14.8	-2.24
Allen Iverson	96	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	14.5	19.0	-4.51	13.2	15.7	-2.46
Andre Iguodala	76	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.54	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.8	-0.02	12.8	15.0	-2.26
John Salmons	61	62	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.41	-13	10	-23	14.9	14.6	0.28	12.3	14.9	-2.58

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	45	43	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.54	9	-6	15	12.0	14.4	-2.32	14.3	15.1	-0.70
Ryan Gomes	90	88	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-6	15	13.3	13.5	-0.22	15.1	12.5	2.61
Paul Pierce	95	95	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-6	15	13.2	15.6	-2.47	14.8	13.7	1.12
Raef LaFrentz	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	4	-5	12.8	14.1	-1.28	14.8	14.6	0.18
Wally Szczerbiak	86	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	3	-3	13.7	11.7	1.97	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Gerald Green	7	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	12.7	13.4	-0.68	15.8	14.7	1.10
Al Jefferson	40	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	2	-1	14.3	12.7	1.64	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Brian Scalabrine	9	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	7	-11	12.9	13.4	-0.50	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Orien Greene	81	83	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.20	-7	10	-17	14.0	11.0	2.99	14.7	14.8	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.05,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1	91.0%
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	90.8%
ORL 94, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.09,1	90.1%