NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	6.0 [615]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +23.3%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	88		Comeback	5.2 [133]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (NOK): -15.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.10	-0.01	11	71%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	13	67%	0.25	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.04	15	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	35%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	15	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	12	48%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	13	46%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	14	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	0.1	29.3	14.6	26.5	0.3	31.8	125.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.5%

PHX +3.1%

NOK -5.9%

NOK -3.3%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOK	NBA	PHX	NOK	NBA
this game	15.4	17.3	15.6	113.5	101.1	104.4
season	13.8	16.3		110.2	101.2
opponent	15.3	16.1		104.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	16.1	14.8	16.1	15.4
NOK	15.2	18.1	18.0	18.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	58	58	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.29	19	-6	25	14.5	17.3	-2.79	18.9	14.1	4.86
Boris Diaw	79	77	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.09	20	-7	27	15.4	15.7	-0.29	17.3	17.1	0.24
Raja Bell	84	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-3	19	15.2	19.2	-3.99	17.1	21.2	-4.13
Eddie House	38	38	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	6	1	16.2	14.9	1.26	17.9	16.9	1.04
Leandro Barbosa	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	15	-17	16.1	14.3	1.81	17.0	17.9	-0.97
Steve Nash	51	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	7	-1	14.9	16.2	-1.26	16.9	17.9	-1.04
Shawn Marion	68	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.21	6	7	-1	16.0	13.6	2.38	16.5	19.8	-3.36
Pat Burke	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	20	-27	15.7	15.4	0.29	17.1	17.3	-0.24

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	42	42	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-21	29	16.8	17.8	-1.01	16.1	14.8	1.29
Speedy Claxton	49	51	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-23	33	17.5	17.1	0.46	16.3	14.3	1.91
Aaron Williams	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-19	25	19.2	16.8	2.34	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Linton Johnson	18	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-17	21	20.7	16.4	4.30	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Desmond Mason	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	3	-19	16.1	20.0	-3.90	15.6	15.2	0.40
David West	69	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	6	-25	16.8	19.2	-2.34	15.7	14.3	1.41
P.J. Brown	46	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	7	-27	18.1	16.5	1.60	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Kirk Snyder	54	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	2	-17	17.3	17.3	0.06	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Chris Paul	79	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.03	-23	10	-33	17.2	18.9	-1.72	15.1	18.4	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.18,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.1%
POR 95, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	91.4%
LAL 117, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.21,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	91.4%