NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	7.1 [375]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +26.5%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	4.2 [382]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -26.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.17	-0.01	21	59%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Steven Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	14	64%	0.11	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.10	0.00	11	38%	-0.08	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	0.00	5	92%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.05	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	13	45%	-0.07	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	5	43%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	14	40%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	28.2	16.5	23.6	2.4	37.5	134.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.8%

POR +15.7%

POR +12.8%

HOU -5.0%

HOU -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.5	99.0	94.7	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		103.9	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.8		102.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	14.6	15.1	13.1	14.3
HOU	16.7	16.8	15.5	15.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-2	10	14.4	14.0	0.43	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Rasheed Wallace	93	90	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	14.1	20.7	-6.54	15.9	18.0	-2.09
Damon Stoudamire	80	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	14.3	14.6	-0.35	15.6	17.8	-2.27
Arvydas Sabonis	51	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	5	-4	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Steven Smith	61	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	14.1	14.7	-0.64	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Bonzi Wells	59	59	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	-1	8	14.0	14.9	-0.91	16.4	15.4	1.00
Dale Davis	40	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	2	2	14.8	14.0	0.76	16.8	15.4	1.48
Detlef Schrempf	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	8	-10	15.4	14.2	1.14	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Stacey Augmon	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	16	-26	16.8	13.9	2.91	18.4	15.6	2.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	58	58	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.02	6	-12	18	16.6	15.1	1.49	14.5	14.1	0.42
Kelvin Cato	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-6	6	16.7	15.8	0.95	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Kenny Thomas	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-6	6	16.5	15.7	0.86	13.2	15.0	-1.78
Steve Francis	80	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-5	4	16.2	15.1	1.09	14.6	12.6	2.06
Moochie Norris	23	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	4	-14	15.9	16.0	-0.12	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Maurice Taylor	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	0	-6	15.7	16.5	-0.86	15.0	13.2	1.78
Cuttino Mobley	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	15.9	17.2	-1.35	14.6	11.9	2.72
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	15.8	16.7	-0.95	14.4	14.0	0.38
Walt Williams	36	38	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	6	-18	15.1	16.6	-1.49	14.1	14.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.05,0	92.4%
NYK 75, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0	92.3%
CHA 108, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.18,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.3%