NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	5.9 [655]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (SAS): +8.2%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.6 [923]		LVP	Martell Webster (POR): -11.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	21	56%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.03	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	17	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	14%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	7	62%	0.08	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	12	58%	0.14	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.06	16	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.8	27.2	17.3	27.9	2.8	27.5	124.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.9%

POR -1.9%

SAS +0.5%

POR -2.0%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.6	91.0	116.1	104.4
season	16.6	16.3		99.4	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	14.5	17.8	16.3	16.2
SAS	17.2	18.2	14.1	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-23	26	17.1	16.0	1.13	18.5	15.7	2.77
Steve Blake	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-10	0	17.2	14.8	2.34	16.9	15.8	1.01
Sebastian Telfair	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-11	2	15.4	16.6	-1.21	17.2	16.2	1.02
Travis Outlaw	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-13	6	15.8	16.6	-0.79	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Zach Randolph	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-9	-2	16.5	15.3	1.22	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Brian Skinner	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-12	4	18.0	13.5	4.49	16.8	15.9	0.89
Juan Dixon	62	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-9	-2	16.6	15.4	1.21	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Martell Webster	24	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-1	-18	14.7	16.8	-2.11	16.5	16.5	0.05
Jarrett Jack	35	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-10	0	14.8	17.2	-2.34	15.8	16.9	-1.01
Darius Miles	59	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-2	-16	14.9	18.9	-3.95	16.1	17.3	-1.20

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	49	51	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.14	27	-7	34	15.5	17.8	-2.27	16.4	16.1	0.34
Tim Duncan	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-1	22	16.3	17.1	-0.81	17.2	13.6	3.65
Michael Finley	58	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	2	16	16.2	17.1	-0.88	15.5	17.8	-2.30
Beno Udrih	33	31	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	5	10	17.2	16.0	1.18	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Bruce Bowen	65	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	7	6	16.2	17.2	-1.00	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Tony Parker	60	63	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	11	-2	16.1	17.3	-1.13	16.5	15.5	1.00
Manu Ginobili	47	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	15	-10	16.8	16.1	0.75	16.6	15.8	0.77
Fabricio Oberto	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	17	-14	18.0	16.1	1.86	13.2	16.9	-3.65
Rasho Nesterovic	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	20	-20	17.5	16.0	1.50	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Nazr Mohammed	33	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	26	-32	17.8	15.7	2.15	16.8	15.9	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 101, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 88, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.84,1	94.1%