NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	6.8 [476]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +52.4%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -8.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.28	0.10	0.20	0.01	10	67%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.11
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.13	-0.01	8	89%	0.33	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.16	0.03	0.05	17	67%	0.15	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.05
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.04	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.52	0.52	0.22	0.31	0.00	16	81%	0.56	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.28	0.28	-0.02	0.30	0.00	13	38%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.06
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	44%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.6	31.2	16.7	29.2	3.5	44.3	155.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +57.8%

LAC -27.8%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +13.5%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	17.3	15.6	112.0	114.1	104.4
season	15.2	17.0		103.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	15.5	13.3	13.3	14.0
UTA	15.6	15.8	18.9	19.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	73	73	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-9	16	13.9	14.3	-0.45	17.4	17.3	0.11
Cuttino Mobley	70	69	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-9	16	14.2	13.2	0.96	18.4	14.3	4.12
Sam Cassell	73	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-10	18	13.2	17.0	-3.84	17.4	17.0	0.44
Elton Brand	84	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.48	10	-12	22	13.6	18.1	-4.57	17.4	17.0	0.38
Shaun Livingston	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	4	-10	15.7	13.3	2.42	17.9	17.1	0.71
Walter McCarty	20	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	15.5	13.5	1.97	17.3	17.4	-0.11
Corey Maggette	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	3	-8	13.6	14.3	-0.65	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Quinton Ross	3	2	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	2	-6	6.0	14.2	-8.22	5.0	17.6	-12.62
Chris Kaman	63	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.36	-16	14	-30	14.7	12.4	2.25	16.7	19.0	-2.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-8	18	17.0	18.4	-1.45	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Carlos Boozer	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-1	4	17.3	17.5	-0.18	13.7	14.4	-0.66
Devin Brown	51	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	17.2	17.5	-0.34	14.3	13.5	0.79
Mehmet Okur	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	17.4	17.2	0.15	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Matt Harpring	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	0	2	18.0	16.7	1.26	14.3	13.6	0.65
Andrei Kirilenko	69	71	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	9	-16	17.1	18.2	-1.16	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Keith McLeod	14	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	17.3	17.4	-0.07	17.3	13.3	3.95
Greg Ostertag	4	3	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	12.5	17.6	-5.07	12.3	14.0	-1.68
Jarron Collins	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	2	-2	17.5	17.3	0.21	13.8	14.1	-0.36
Milt Palacio	50	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	18.2	16.4	1.78	13.6	14.4	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.84,1	94.3%
DET 79, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
ORL 74, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%