NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	100		Excitement	8.5 [199]		MVP	Linton Johnson (NOK): +21.1%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.2 [667]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (NOK): -17.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linton Johnson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.05	-0.00	8	100%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
David West	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.15	0.04	0.13	0.02	14	57%	0.22	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.08
Chris Paul	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.00	11	66%	0.32	5	-0.20	13	77%	0.09
Rasual Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.02	-0.13	0.02	8	55%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.02	-0.01	14	65%	0.21	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.19	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.08	-0.00	10	50%	0.28	4	-0.27	2	50%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	5	64%	0.03	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	14	50%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	38%	-0.01	3	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	10	37%	-0.06	2	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.7	26.0	15.5	27.9	2.7	32.9	135.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -1.9%

NOK +26.0%

NOK +19.9%

NOK +4.1%

NOK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	UTA	NBA	NOK	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.6	103.1	99.0	104.4
season	16.3	17.0		101.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	14.0	15.5	13.1	16.4	14.7
UTA	14.8	14.5	16.9	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-8	21	14.3	16.4	-2.15	15.8	12.1	3.74
P.J. Brown	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	0	5	15.8	13.0	2.73	15.2	14.9	0.30
David West	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	0	5	14.6	15.1	-0.56	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Linton Johnson	45	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-5	15	13.6	15.7	-2.05	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Kirk Snyder	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	3	-1	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.1	16.8	-2.71
Rasual Butler	52	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	10	-15	15.7	13.6	2.05	15.3	14.9	0.40
Marc Jackson	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	5	-5	15.1	14.6	0.56	15.1	15.1	0.05
Aaron Williams	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	5	-5	13.0	15.8	-2.73	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Moochie Norris	56	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	10	-15	14.6	14.9	-0.24	15.2	15.0	0.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	50	51	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.3	16.0	-1.76	13.9	15.7	-1.73
Devin Brown	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	14.8	15.3	-0.56	15.5	14.2	1.29
Jarron Collins	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	2	-9	16.4	14.4	2.01	14.8	14.7	0.07
Keith McLeod	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	0	-5	16.2	14.2	1.99	14.1	15.3	-1.14
Carlos Boozer	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	14.4	16.4	-2.01	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Deron Williams	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-3	1	14.9	15.3	-0.45	15.6	14.0	1.65
Andrei Kirilenko	78	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.8	0.33	15.4	12.1	3.34
Milt Palacio	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.4	-0.41	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Mehmet Okur	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.4	1.06	14.4	15.5	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.29,0.4,0.19,0.37,0.34,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.28,0	92.4%
POR 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.43,0.15,0	92.3%
SAS 85, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.09,0	92.2%