NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	7.6 [322]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +51.3%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	5.5 [434]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -36.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	63%	0.13	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.07
Mario Kasun	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.00	14	68%	0.13	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
Travis Diener	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.4,0.47,0.51	0.51	0.23	0.28	-0.00	13	93%	0.56	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	18	57%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Zoran Planinic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.24	0.02	22	40%	-0.25	3	-0.11	11	82%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.1	1.6	35.3	140.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -15.2%

NJN +14.0%

NJN +44.1%

NJN +11.8%

ORL -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.6	105.7	107.9	104.4
season	16.4	15.7		104.4	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	17.3	17.6	16.4	16.4
NJN	16.2	17.9	13.7	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Kasun	18	16	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-8	13	13.0	17.3	-4.29	17.2	15.9	1.36
Travis Diener	17	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-7	11	15.1	16.7	-1.67	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Tony Battie	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	16.6	16.2	0.35	15.3	17.2	-1.88
Carlos Arroyo	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-5	7	16.9	15.8	1.08	15.7	16.7	-1.00
DeShawn Stevenson	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	16.1	17.3	-1.15	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Pat Garrity	39	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	15.6	17.0	-1.43	17.1	15.3	1.84
Keyon Dooling	76	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	1	-5	16.6	14.9	1.73	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Stacey Augmon	66	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	5	-13	16.7	15.6	1.09	17.1	13.3	3.74
Dwight Howard	57	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	10	-23	17.6	14.2	3.37	15.6	17.2	-1.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	47	45	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-3	9	16.1	16.1	0.03	15.0	17.9	-2.84
Vince Carter	71	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-6	15	16.0	16.8	-0.88	16.8	14.9	1.86
Jason Kidd	77	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-5	13	15.8	18.0	-2.16	16.9	13.8	3.12
Richard Jefferson	79	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	16.2	15.3	0.94	16.2	18.0	-1.82
Jason Collins	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	7	-11	17.0	13.6	3.32	16.6	15.8	0.79
Nenad Krstic	34	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	-9	21	13.9	17.5	-3.55	18.2	15.2	2.93
Jacque Vaughn	13	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	9	-15	17.0	16.0	1.01	14.1	16.9	-2.82
Lamond Murray	4	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	4	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.45	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Antoine Wright	39	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	17.2	15.3	1.86	16.8	16.1	0.67
Scott Padgett	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	16.1	16.1	-0.08	13.8	16.9	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.86,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.85,1	92.5%
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.5%
CHI 95, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.84,1	92.3%