NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	7.2 [393]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +22.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	7.0 [42]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -13.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	93%	0.13	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	25	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Mitch Richmond	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	0.01	16	50%	-0.02	4	-0.12	16	62%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.13	0.00	17	62%	0.23	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	16	70%	0.28	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	8	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	26.1	18.8	29.1	2.5	37.5	140.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.2%

LAC +2.0%

LAC +4.8%

LAC +3.4%

LAC +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.6	100.0	106.7	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		106.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	16.4	16.2	14.2	15.6
LAC	16.2	18.8	14.4	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	74	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-11	17	15.1	17.9	-2.80	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Mark Madsen	30	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-5	5	17.5	14.7	2.75	17.5	16.1	1.33
Rick Fox	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.8	15.5	0.38	14.6	18.0	-3.40
Derek Fisher	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-7	9	15.1	17.0	-1.92	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Samaki Walker	70	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	15.1	17.5	-2.46	16.4	17.1	-0.78
Slava Medvedenko	5	5	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	1	-7	15.6	15.6	-0.04	13.8	16.7	-2.91
Lindsey Hunter	26	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	2	-9	17.0	15.1	1.92	17.1	16.3	0.79
Devean George	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.8	-0.38	17.7	14.9	2.84
Mitch Richmond	16	17	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	6	-17	17.9	15.1	2.80	17.1	16.4	0.70
Shaquille O'Neal	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.4	16.7	-1.32	16.7	15.6	1.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	76	78	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-8	21	15.8	21.0	-5.21	15.3	17.9	-2.63
Elton Brand	78	78	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.30	14	-9	23	15.9	21.0	-5.08	15.2	18.7	-3.60
Quentin Richardson	37	39	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-12	29	16.6	16.5	0.08	17.1	14.5	2.55
Sean Rooks	41	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-3	11	16.9	16.2	0.70	16.6	14.8	1.83
Corey Maggette	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	4	-3	16.2	17.8	-1.64	14.9	18.2	-3.36
Darius Miles	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	12	-19	18.8	14.9	3.87	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Eric Piatkowski	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	14.8	17.7	-2.89	15.8	15.5	0.26
Michael Olowokandi	59	62	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	17	-29	17.1	15.4	1.69	15.6	15.7	-0.17
Earl Boykins	13	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	13	-21	21.0	15.8	5.21	17.9	15.3	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.86,0.95,1	92.5%
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.3%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.2%