NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	3.1 [1183]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +11.8%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	1.2 [543]		LVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): -5.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	13	67%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	68%	0.13	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	69%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	14	66%	0.10	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	17	50%	0.02	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	0.01	0.10	24	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	0.01	-0.09	13	27%	-0.05	2	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.8	26.2	17.4	23.9	2.8	23.5	118.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.2%

DEN -2.7%

PHX +13.2%

DEN -6.5%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.0	15.6	111.5	98.1	104.4
season	13.8	14.4		110.2	103.5
opponent	15.9	16.1		103.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	16.0	11.9	15.0	13.8
DEN	14.2	11.7	15.3	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	74	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-7	29	13.5	14.5	-1.00	15.3	10.8	4.47
Shawn Marion	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-2	19	13.7	14.1	-0.44	14.3	13.4	0.91
Raja Bell	93	93	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	10	-5	14.1	10.8	3.32	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Steve Nash	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.26	21	-6	27	12.8	15.5	-2.72	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Kurt Thomas	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.18	16	-1	17	13.6	14.1	-0.50	13.9	14.2	-0.33
Leandro Barbosa	55	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	13	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.09	14.5	13.6	0.89
James Jones	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	10	-5	12.7	14.3	-1.64	11.2	15.4	-4.11
Eddie House	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	21	-27	15.5	12.8	2.72	14.7	13.7	1.05
Pat Burke	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	19	-23	15.6	13.4	2.15	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.9	13.6	2.30	13.1	14.1	-0.99

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	8.4	14.3	-5.93	14.5	13.7	0.76
DerMarr Johnson	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-25	35	15.3	13.6	1.75	14.6	13.5	1.05
Linas Kleiza	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-24	33	13.5	14.6	-1.14	15.1	12.3	2.82
Kenyon Martin	18	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-8	1	15.2	13.8	1.43	13.9	13.8	0.11
Earl Watson	36	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-6	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.51	12.9	14.3	-1.45
Francisco Elson	35	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	15.4	13.3	2.06	13.2	14.1	-0.85
Earl Boykins	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-5	-5	13.7	14.4	-0.69	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Marcus Camby	68	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-2	-11	13.7	14.6	-0.85	13.9	13.6	0.25
Carmelo Anthony	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.23	-21	6	-27	13.9	14.6	-0.74	13.2	15.4	-2.18
Andre Miller	72	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	14.6	12.8	1.81	14.7	11.9	2.74
Greg Buckner	63	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	2	-19	14.1	14.0	0.06	13.3	14.6	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHX 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIL 115, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%