inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 95 Excitement6.4 [532] MVPChris Paul (NOK): +36.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 100 Comeback1.5 [922] LVPBen Gordon (CHI): -11.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.09-0.011364%0.192-0.032100%0.01
Kirk Hinrich0.120,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.021271%0.182-0.064100%0.04
Jannero Pargo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.011100%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.001453%0.042-0.066100%0.02
Tyson Chandler-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%-0.012-0.04850%-0.05
Othella Harrington-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.031-0.0220%-0.03
Michael Sweetney-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00350%-0.032-0.05425%-0.07
Chris Duhon-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01629%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Ben Gordon-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11-0.02-0.080.011553%-0.034-0.0800%0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.36,0.360.360.180.200.011176%0.381-0.021182%0.00
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.13-0.020.10-0.041052%0.142-0.01560%0.03
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.03750%0.0400.002100%0.01
Kirk Snyder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.040.001356%0.0300.001100%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.01-0.011158%0.082-0.06250%-0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jackson Vroman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.02950%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01930%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.110.01-0.001027%-0.081-0.02650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.51.830.114.728.22.433.2142.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOK +19.9%
NOK +11.3%
CHI -8.8%
NOK +23.7%
NOK +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHINOKNBACHINOKNBA
this game13.716.215.697.9104.2104.4
season14.416.3102.6101.2
opponent15.316.1104.1102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.614.713.212.213.7
NOK15.415.316.817.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo14120.06-0.560.62-0.033-81112.114.0-1.8213.316.6-3.23
Michael Sweetney22220.03-0.530.56-0.146-111714.013.60.3917.115.91.27
Malik Allen108-0.03-0.470.450.00-1-4315.213.51.6711.716.6-4.81
Chris Duhon5251-0.05-0.450.41-0.226-111713.214.3-1.0616.116.3-0.21
Othella Harrington1819-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-1-315.413.32.1417.615.81.77
Darius Songaila5452-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-2-113.214.3-1.0415.217.3-2.06
Andres Nocioni4041-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.21-2-3112.114.8-2.6414.817.2-2.44
Kirk Hinrich6666-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-2-114.013.01.0816.016.6-0.60
Luol Deng6967-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.24-72-914.312.22.1416.615.11.51
Tyson Chandler7777-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.29-61-713.713.60.1317.311.45.90
Ben Gordon6365-0.620.12-0.75-0.21-149-2313.913.30.6316.515.41.14

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Brown70690.55-0.050.610.299-41315.717.3-1.5313.813.40.43
Speedy Claxton53530.53-0.030.560.5014-315.317.2-1.8213.314.2-0.84
Rasual Butler34350.400.100.310.149-41316.416.00.3014.413.31.14
Chris Paul77770.350.150.200.2923-116.116.3-0.1313.116.1-3.09
Aaron Williams36370.170.33-0.160.1414-318.514.83.7115.212.82.45
Jackson Vroman22230.130.37-0.23-0.0150513.716.9-3.2112.414.1-1.72
Desmond Mason67670.130.37-0.250.21-38-1116.016.4-0.3712.715.9-3.14
Kirk Snyder57580.120.38-0.25-0.149-41317.414.42.9414.812.12.72
David West59600.120.38-0.270.29-611-1716.216.10.0313.813.60.22
J.R. Smith56-0.000.50-0.510.05-27-911.616.4-4.8114.713.61.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 98, DAL 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.57,0.96,193.3%
MIL 117, DEN 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.95,192.5%
ORL 101, PHX 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.75,0.9,0.76,0.92,192.3%