NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +13.4%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.0 [634]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (BOS): -18.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	17	58%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.08	0.08	0.03	15	56%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	13	46%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	-0.04	10	23%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	27	61%	0.22	4	-0.09	12	67%	-0.09
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	59%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.05
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	63%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	9	25%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.7	24.5	16.5	26.0	1.8	31.3	123.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +29.9%

PHX +15.8%

BOS -4.2%

PHX +6.2%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.6	106.2	97.9	104.4
season	13.8	14.8		110.2	103.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		104.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	11.6	16.5	16.0	14.8
BOS	15.7	15.5	13.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	15.5	11.2	4.29	15.5	13.4	2.09
Kurt Thomas	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	15.2	13.5	1.71	15.0	15.8	-0.84
James Jones	49	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	14.0	15.7	-1.68	15.4	15.0	0.35
Steve Nash	73	73	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	15.4	13.0	2.45	14.5	17.2	-2.63
Leandro Barbosa	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-3	14	13.1	15.9	-2.84	16.2	14.5	1.62
Boris Diaw	63	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	7	-6	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Shawn Marion	80	81	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	14	-20	15.1	13.4	1.66	14.6	18.5	-3.98
Eddie House	23	23	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	5	-2	13.0	15.4	-2.45	17.2	14.5	2.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-8	8	10.0	15.2	-5.23	10.5	14.9	-4.41
Raef LaFrentz	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-10	12	16.0	14.8	1.18	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Kendrick Perkins	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.5	-0.70	15.5	14.3	1.17
Tony Allen	32	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-2	-4	15.4	15.1	0.34	12.3	16.2	-3.92
Brian Scalabrine	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.2	0.06	15.9	14.0	1.97
Orien Greene	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	15.6	14.9	0.77	14.0	15.4	-1.36
Paul Pierce	85	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	14.8	18.0	-3.19	15.1	13.1	2.02
Delonte West	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	14.8	16.2	-1.37	15.2	13.5	1.77
Al Jefferson	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	15.6	14.7	0.92	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Wally Szczerbiak	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-3	-2	15.2	14.7	0.51	15.3	11.0	4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	93.6%
MEM 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
CHH 99, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.4%