NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	91		Excitement	5.1 [814]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +14.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	85		Comeback	4.0 [178]		LVP	Jake Voskuhl (CHA): -12.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	10	74%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	15	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	15	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Wayne Simien	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Fitch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.04	12	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.04	0.06	14	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	15	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	28.5	15.5	26.4	2.5	32.4	134.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.9%

CHA -0.2%

MIA +4.2%

MIA +5.3%

MIA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHA	NBA	MIA	CHA	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	15.6	105.8	96.6	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		106.1	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	19.1	18.2	15.7	18.6	17.8
CHA	16.1	15.4	15.6	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Fitch	46	47	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.12	17	-11	28	18.2	17.4	0.84	16.2	14.3	1.85
Antoine Walker	41	41	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	1	4	18.4	17.3	1.08	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Udonis Haslem	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-4	14	17.2	20.0	-2.75	15.8	13.6	2.22
Gary Payton	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	17.6	19.6	-2.01	15.4	14.7	0.74
Alonzo Mourning	22	24	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-4	14	20.8	16.8	4.02	16.9	14.7	2.21
Dorell Wright	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	2	2	17.4	17.9	-0.50	15.6	15.3	0.35
Shaquille O'Neal	62	61	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	8	-10	17.3	19.2	-1.98	15.2	15.6	-0.47
Wayne Simien	9	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	21.8	17.4	4.41	15.1	15.3	-0.26
James Posey	48	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	12	-18	16.8	19.1	-2.25	14.4	16.6	-2.22
Jason Kapono	50	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	18	-30	17.8	17.8	-0.01	14.4	16.7	-2.29

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	68	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-15	24	15.3	15.3	-0.06	18.6	15.3	3.29
Brevin Knight	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.3	0.14	17.9	17.8	0.12
Kevin Burleson	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.06	12.6	18.4	-5.89
Bernard Robinson	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	15.6	15.2	0.31	18.4	17.7	0.73
Matt Carroll	57	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-8	10	14.6	16.6	-2.07	18.1	17.4	0.67
Alan Anderson	3	4	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	19.7	15.2	4.51	16.7	17.9	-1.13
Jake Voskuhl	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	16.4	14.6	1.83	17.5	18.1	-0.62
Jumaine Jones	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.6	-0.31	17.7	18.4	-0.73
Raymond Felton	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	15.7	13.3	2.35	18.3	14.8	3.48
Primoz Brezec	72	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.25	-16	10	-26	14.8	17.7	-2.91	17.3	20.3	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 111, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
ORL 97, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%